On 10-case geometry and beyond

Discussion in 'Technical Analysis' started by Simples, Jul 3, 2017.

  1. tiddlywinks

    tiddlywinks

    As we know, B-band and examples of bands-beyond (valid or not), as well as corresponding explanatory materials is minimal.

    Sorry to reiterate already presented material, but it is necessary to ensure we stay focused on what the current difficulties are...


    A-band, as far as it's boundaries and it's activation, I am sure, we are clear on. Moving on...

    B-band as described above is activated in conjunction with a VTP result of T2P.
    And here the "confusion" begins... we are not discussing the B-band EE's at this stage.

    A VTP measurement of a "first" T2P comes after a P2.
    For a "first" T2P to be ID'd, volume is required to be > T1. Volume of < T1 "kiils" a T2P ID.

    Lets look at next, following a T2P: there are 3 possibilities for next following a T2P....
    Another T2P, a T2F or an EE, exactly which EE, we are not there, we are looking at next.

    A next T2P is required to be >= the previous T2P. With B-band active as of the "first" T2P, the upper limit for a next T2P is P2. The lower limit for a next T2P is the first (or previous) T2P.

    If the lower limit is not reached, only T2F or an EE is possible. VTP measurement of a "first" T2F ID, comes after a T2P, and volume is required to be > T1. Volume of < T1 "kills" a T2F ID.

    Lets look at a few EE's now...
    If a "first" T2P is killed it is because volume is < T1. Clearly an Ab EE. B-band is not even active.
    If a "next" T2P is killed it is because volume is less than the first (or previous) T2P. This is NOT an EE, as a first T2F is possible. Here lives confusion. B-band is active.

    VTP allows T2F after T2P or T2F. B-band has a lower limit of T2P, --BUT-- T2F **is** lower volume than T2P. If a B-band EE is applied, a sequence will NEVER be allowed to progress beyond T2P!! Ab or maybe Aa EE ( NB: there is a suble diffence (besides P1 placement) between Aa and Ba) are explanatory sequence resets imo.

    If a "first" T2F is killed, it is because volume is < T1.
    The argument can be made this is an Ab EE. It could also be argued it is a B-band EE which are based on ID'd peaks rather than lower limits.

    Where Im at..
    The B-band EE Ba has 2 quite different defines. One definition on the handwritten B through K bands sheet and another definition on the explanatory B-band EE's post from Jack, I believe from the butt thread but Im not sure about that. In any case, I believe the butt thread post is more current and I accept that Ba definition over the older Ba definition on the B through K bands sheet. If you read closely, you will see the Bc definitions are the same however. The line "Bc is not seen" adds further confusion since Bc is included on the top portion of modrian table set B, C, and D.

    Let me now add more spice... T2F activates C-band. C-band has only one EE. Previously, I posted a snip from Jack regarding n+1 and the C-band. I mentioned how the mixed tense of his words was concerning. This concern is confirmed IMO. Just saying.

    Bands F, G, H and K all have references to T2P and/or T2F in very specific, yet to be understood ways.

    Writing code brings these matters to light.
     
    #621     Jul 23, 2018
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  2. Sprout

    Sprout

    Jack on Bandpass.

    <snip>
    2. Does the Ba bandpass volume have to be >T2P but <P2, i.e. would it have been a Fb (or Ca?) if volume was >P2?

    This question means that you are beginning to use bandwidth in your reasoning. Good work. As a trend moves forward, there are more and more possibilities for an End Effect (EE) to occur since there are more bands for a forming price bar to drop into.

    At this point the trader's mind moves to "anticipate". This is unlike betting, hoping or price hitting some guessed at target or guessed at stop. Some well known traders and authors do get this inclination which they call zones. For them, zones are places that seem to have some unconscious relevance.

    For those using a systemic approach, the independent variable does, mathematically, define zones. This is a concept based materialization. The concept is what in trading is called "context". Nothing is true in trading if the context of the circumstance is also true. Most people are very unsophisitcated so they never think in these terms. they stick with fear, anxiety and anger as their guides.

    At any time all bands that have been established remain in force. you mention a few. FF requested that I post all this information since he did not want to go through the intellectuaal development himself. Not many would. So you see on the sheet for End Effects, I also added the contextual range of volune that satisfies the "true" of the End Effect. Only a finite number may exist so I listed all of them.

    <snip>

    Italics for emphasis
     
    #622     Jul 23, 2018
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  3. tiddlywinks

    tiddlywinks


    Not exactly an "answer" to the question that was asked, but certainly a validation of sorts of my mention/idea/invention/whatever, of using a reverse band hierarchy for determining and applying EE's. Reverse band hierarchy not even necessary. Really good to see it in writing!!
     
    #623     Jul 23, 2018
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  4. Sprout

    Sprout


    On the Modrian table, there are BO,T1's after P2's which is evident by having FS on each of the four types of trends. B-turns are associated with pt3 of a Set C, D trends. The A,B turns are associated with the 2r2b and 2b2r after the b2b or r2r of the container.
     
    #624     Jul 23, 2018
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  5. Sprout

    Sprout


    I haven't responded your post yet, however here is an example of Ab with T2P being ID'd on the bar before.
     
    #625     Jul 23, 2018
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  6. Should the RTL once established by T1 stay intact for the full duration of the segment until an EE occurs then? and at any given moment we can have a BO,T1 with a bar closing out of it?
     
    #626     Jul 23, 2018
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  7. Sprout

    Sprout

    Personally, I’ve gone back and forth on this. With SCT, fanning and accelerating the rtl is SOP to carve turns.

    Currently, my operating point is:

    An rtl can fan to include internals that are of the same sentiment as the start of the trend segment. Opposite sentiment with a close that XO’s the rtl, for me is a solid BO,T1. During debriefing if a BM,rev occurs on the next bar, I’m looking to see if this segment was better ID’d as an EE.

    The index card drill combined with the Modrian is providing some insight on piecing together trend segments, turns and trend types.

    With these recent discussions, there is a refinement that is happening that is quite pleasing. Thanks to everyone for participating!
     
    #627     Jul 23, 2018
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  8. Sprout

    Sprout

    Comments within quoted text.
     
    Last edited: Jul 24, 2018
    #628     Jul 24, 2018
  9. tiddlywinks

    tiddlywinks

    Frankly @Sprout , I don't understand much of your "response". I will reply to the few items that I do.

    >> There is also the possibility of 'Wait'.
    Really??? I'm not a beginner with this stuff. Get off your horse! Inclusion or not of a "wait" possibility in the discussion has no bearing whatsoever on the discussion.

    >> Ba, Bc definitions
    Yes, I have already superseded the hand written B through K band sheet with those posted band definitions from the ET threads. They are more current. Thusfar, in my work, Ba EE has been shown to have different definitions between the 2 sources.

    >> n+1 does not come into being until G band activates. This is where the third peak of price can either pass or fail (P3P, P3F)

    Jack said differently... Post #601, in this thread.
    https://www.elitetrader.com/et/threads/on-10-case-geometry-and-beyond.310880/page-61#post-4692060

    Happy to help in whatever way I may have done so.
     
    Last edited: Jul 24, 2018
    #629     Jul 24, 2018
  10. Sprout

    Sprout


    Not sure why you're taking it personally, it's just my way of establishing a clear record for those following the path. You're a great help! It's these type of discussions that create clarity.

    There is a reason why Jack promoted the use of a hand written log, unless one has gone through the process, it's not really fair to oneself to discount it. Annotating a chart is not the same thing. There are things in the paper log that occur that do not on an annotated chart.
     
    #630     Jul 24, 2018