Fibs don't work

Discussion in 'Technical Analysis' started by SunTrader, May 18, 2022.

  1. SunTrader

    SunTrader

    I've posted this many times before and I'm sure will do it many more times:-

    Sept 3rd, 1929 (date sound familiar, year anyway?)

    Time, price, momentum and pattern. So-called self-fulfilling prophecy even though Elliott and common knowledge of Fibs hadn't happen yet. How's that?

    ! Dow29 EW.png
     
    #271     Jan 26, 2023
  2. So what are you saying? That Fibs were working even before someone discovered them? I could not understand all the numbers on your chart?
     
    #272     Jan 26, 2023
  3. SunTrader

    SunTrader

    Fair enough but anything can be found to confirm one's belief by searching. You know that.

    Here is an ES example earlier today hitting 50% level,. Yeah, yeah some say it's not a fib ratio. Whatever. But notice the green anchor lines, not as typical drawn from highest high and lowest low. Testing would label that a loser. But the way I was taught is to ignore the outlying candle wicks and use close of the bar. Don't care about all those losing traders caught when a bar reversing significantly before it closes. Hit level, reversed and closed near top of the bar. Then took out that high on the next 5 min bar.
    ! ES Fibs.png
     
    #273     Jan 26, 2023
  4. easymon1

    easymon1

    damm.jpg
     
    #274     Jan 26, 2023
  5. themickey

    themickey

    Fibs is like religion, you have beliefs that your god will save you or make you money, but it hasn't happened yet but it will in the future.
    The future only arrives after you are dead or account blown up.

    Always the same song, "woulda shoulda coulda".
     
    Last edited: Jan 26, 2023
    #275     Jan 26, 2023
  6. SunTrader

    SunTrader

    I thought it would be obvious that yes they worked then. They work now.

    Some are Fib Price Projections (APP and Ex Ret) and Fib Time Projections (TCR and ATP) - the ratios used are right on them, projecting prior swing lows and highs to crash high.
     
    #276     Jan 26, 2023
  7. tuxedo69

    tuxedo69

    Mickey can I ask ,what do you trade, and is it Ta.Fm
    If it's ta probably not fibs?
     
    #277     Jan 26, 2023
  8. SunTrader

    SunTrader

    I asked him earlier what did he find that works. Response ... crickets.

    Seems what works for him is to throw rocks at what he can't ... make work.
     
    #278     Jan 26, 2023
    tuxedo69 likes this.
  9. tuxedo69

    tuxedo69

    12301 must be good.
     
    #279     Jan 26, 2023
  10. tuxedo69

    tuxedo69

    Hi sun trader,
    Can I ask, do you trade full time ?
     
    #280     Jan 26, 2023