OMG I can't believe this fallacy still exists in trading!

Discussion in 'Trading' started by wxytrader, Oct 14, 2023.

  1. taowave

    taowave

    Are you saying that price stops are an ineffective method of managing risk as it comes at too high a price???

    Are you suggesting a trader should average down??

    Do you differentiate between day trading and investing??

    "ONLY" a 50% drawdown??? Do you not make a distinction between a 10 stock portfolio vs a single asset??

    Do you trade?






     
    #161     Oct 15, 2023
    vanzandt likes this.
  2. taowave

    taowave

    Of course it does.How many stocks double in a reasonable time frame?


    And I ask again,whats more likely, a stock dropping 50% and rebounding 100% or a stock dropping 50% only to fall another 50%?? You dont know,do you :)

    I fully understand the "limitations" of a lognormal distribution.but your whole argument is banking on a tail event to recover..dont you trade options??

    It sounds to me like you are implying that a stock that is down 50% has a greater chance to double than a stock that is perhaps flat or up???

    You keep on saying less likely,but you dont say less likely than option B..

    Regardless,massive drawdowns are crushers especially when compounding..



     
    #162     Oct 15, 2023
    vanzandt likes this.
  3. vanzandt

    vanzandt

    If you read and heed his fervent suppositions here and apply them to your option stategies, you could buy 5 classic Lamborghini's. What are you, a f'n noob?
     
    #163     Oct 15, 2023
  4. vanzandt

    vanzandt

    I bet she's still young enough to be your daughter. He's either 15... or a bot.
     
    #164     Oct 15, 2023
    rb7 likes this.
  5. vanzandt

    vanzandt

    #165     Oct 15, 2023
    taowave likes this.
  6. vanzandt

    vanzandt

    He was mocking you lol. :rolleyes:
     
    #166     Oct 15, 2023
  7. padutrader

    padutrader

    agree
     
    #167     Oct 15, 2023
    wxytrader likes this.
  8. vanzandt

    vanzandt

    Example?
    Real stocks don't get cut in half unless there's a problem.
    And when it happens to an index, all bets off.
     
    #168     Oct 15, 2023
  9. I've got Padu on my side!
     
    #169     Oct 15, 2023
    padutrader likes this.
  10. vanzandt

    vanzandt

    The same Padu that sports a scratch handicap on the links?
    You go sonny-boy.... rock it for all it's worth. :thumbsup:
     
    #170     Oct 15, 2023
    padutrader likes this.