OMG I can't believe this fallacy still exists in trading!

Discussion in 'Trading' started by wxytrader, Oct 14, 2023.

  1. vanzandt

    vanzandt

    If Abbott Labs opened at $50 tomorrow.... something FUNDAMENTAL happened to the company and forecast earnings have been reduced by ~1/2.

    And aside from a dead cat bounce on a brief oversold condition... it's not going back to $100 anytime soon.

    The only external force that will get it back to $100 is when the historic PE multiplied by forecast earnings equals $100.... give or take some for the range of the PE and overall market sentiment.
     
    #111     Oct 15, 2023
  2. You need to forget about fundamentals as they are not only irrelevant 99% as far as price action...they are also irrelevant to the discussion.
     
    #112     Oct 15, 2023
  3. vanzandt

    vanzandt

    CAN WE GET SOME REAL WORLD EXAMPLES OF STOCKS THAT TRADE IN A RANGE OF -50% +100%
     
    #113     Oct 15, 2023
  4. vanzandt

    vanzandt

    EXAMPLES PLEASE
     
    #114     Oct 15, 2023
  5. newwurldmn

    newwurldmn

    If you believe this, then you have a substantial reason to trade options as options don’t reflect this.

    You can literally make billions because the pricing is so vastly different than your theory.
     
    #115     Oct 15, 2023
    vanzandt and taowave like this.
  6. vanzandt

    vanzandt

    RIGHT.... NVDA COMES OUT TOMORROW AND CUTS THEIR 2024 EARNINGS FORECAST BY 35% (FUNDAMENTALS) BUT THAT'S IRRELEVANT AS FAR AS PRICE ACTION.

    THE STOCK WILL GO UP OR ELSE THE MARKETS WILL BE IN PERPETUAL DECLINE.
     
    #116     Oct 15, 2023
  7. vanzandt

    vanzandt

    ET :rolleyes:
     
    #117     Oct 15, 2023
  8. Y'all need to read the first post to get back on track about what is being discussed. You have all gone off on tangents because you can't grasp the concept of what the traders fallacy is.
     
    #118     Oct 15, 2023
  9. The concept is the same whether it's a 50% drop or a 2% drop.
     
    #119     Oct 15, 2023
  10. tomkat22

    tomkat22

    Make a list of things that makes a stock's price go up or down: good/bad earnings report,CEO cooking the books,a drug they been working on really does work,etc,etc,could be a pretty long list. Will MATH be written on that list?
     
    #120     Oct 15, 2023
    wxytrader likes this.