https://everydaycalculation.com/moon-phase.php "we have identified a “Lunar green period”, when stocks tend to do better than average, and a “Lunar red period”, when stocks generally underperform. Green periods start about 3 days after Full Moon, and red periods begin about 3 days after New Moon. The outperformance in green periods is significant, as you can see in this chart (1950 – 2009):" https://lunatictrader.com/moon-cycles-in-the-markets/ >
Moon Cycles: If it can be useful to someone, I insert here the formulas: in Easylanguage (for Tradestation and Multicharts), for Amibroker and for Metastock. ---------------------------------------------------------------------------- Lunar Cycles for Tradestation and Multicharts: for Full Moon Cycles, obviously changing the dates, you can insert also the New Moon Cycles. LUNARCYCLE: Plots a dot every 27 days, so if you type a full moon date as the input, it will continue to show you full moon days. Note: Date should be entered as YYMMDD. --------------------------------------------------------------------------- Function: LUNARCICLE [LegacyColorValue = true]; Input: MOON1(Numeric); LUNARCICLE = INTPORTION((DATETOJULIAN(DATE) - DATETOJULIAN(MOON1)) / 27) ----------------------------------------------------------------------------- Indicator: [LegacyColorValue = true]; INPUT:VALUE(960305); VALUE1 = LUNARCICLE(VALUE); IF VALUE1 > VALUE1[1] THEN PLOT1(H,"FULLMOON"); ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ====================================================================================== Lunar Cycles for AmiBroker: _SECTION_BEGIN( "Price Chart" ); SetChartOptions( 0, chartShowArrows | chartShowDates ); //GraphXSpace = 5; Y = SelectedValue(Year()); M = SelectedValue(Month()); D = SelectedValue(Day()); Hr = SelectedValue(Hour()); Mn = SelectedValue(Minute()); // normalize values to range 0...1 function normalize( Val ) { Val = Val - floor( Val ); if (Val < 0) {Val = Val + 1;} return Val; } // Set Pi. PI = 3.1415926535897932385; // calculate the Julian Date at 12H UT YY = Y - floor( ( 12 - M ) / 10 ); MM = M + 9; if (MM >= 12) {MM = MM - 12;} K1 = floor( 365.25 * ( YY + 4712 ) ); K2 = floor( 30.6 * MM + 0.5 ); K3 = floor( floor( ( YY / 100 ) + 49 ) * 0.75 ) - 38; JD = K1 + K2 + D + 59; // for dates in Julian calendar if (JD > 2299160) {JD = JD - K3;} // for Gregorian calendar // calculate moon's age in days IP = normalize( ( JD - 2451550.1 ) / 29.530588853 ); AG = IP*29.53; Phase = "NEW"; if (AG < 27.68493) {Phase = "Waning crescent";S1=4;S2=8;} if (AG < 23.99361) {Phase = "Last quarter";S1=4;S2=12;} if (AG < 20.30228) {Phase = "Waning gibbous";S1=6;S2=14;} if (AG < 16.61096) {Phase = "FULL";S1=6;S2=15;} if (AG < 12.91963) {Phase = "Waxing gibbous";S1=6;S2=7;} if (AG < 9.22831) {Phase = "First quarter";S1=2;S2=3;} if (AG < 5.53699) {Phase = "Waxing crescent";S1=2;S2=1;} if (AG < 1.84566) {Phase = "NEW";S1=0;S2=0;} IP1 = IP; IP = IP*2*PI; // Convert phase to radians // calculate moon's distance DP = 2*PI*normalize( ( JD - 2451562.2 ) / 27.55454988 ); DI = 60.4 - 3.3*cos( DP ) - 0.6*cos( 2*IP - DP ) - 0.5*cos( 2*IP ); // calculate moon's ecliptic latitude NP = 2*PI*normalize( ( JD - 2451565.2 ) / 27.212220817 ); LA = 5.1*sin( NP ); // calculate moon's ecliptic longitude RP = normalize( ( JD - 2451555.8 ) / 27.321582241 ); LO = 360*RP + 6.3*sin( DP ) + 1.3*sin( 2*IP - DP ) + 0.7*sin( 2*IP ); Zodiac = "Pisces"; if (LO < 348.58) {Zodiac = "Aquarius";} if (LO < 311.72) {Zodiac = "Capricorn";} if (LO < 302.49) {Zodiac = "Sagittarius";} if (LO < 271.26) {Zodiac = "Scorpio";} if (LO < 242.57) {Zodiac = "Libra";} if (LO < 224.17) {Zodiac = "Virgo";} if (LO < 173.34) {Zodiac = "Leo";} if (LO < 135.30) {Zodiac = "Cancer";} if (LO < 119.48) {Zodiac = "Gemini";} if (LO < 93.44) {Zodiac = "Taurus";} if (LO < 51.16) {Zodiac = "Aries";} if (LO < 33.18) {Zodiac = "Pisces";} Plot( C, "Close", colorBrightGreen, styleNoTitle | ParamStyle( "Style" ) | GetPriceStyle() ); _N(Title = Name() + " - " + Date() + " Open " + C + " High " + H + " Low " + L + " Close " + C + "\n" + "Age: " + AG + " Phase: " + Phase + "\n" + "Distance: " + DI + " earth radii ecliptic\n" + "Latitude = " + LA + "°\n" + "Longitude = " + LO + "°\n" + "Constellation = " + Zodiac+ "\n" + "IP: " + IP1); _SECTION_END(); _SECTION_BEGIN("Lunar Cycle"); // Input your local time zone TZ=Param("Your local Time Zone? [-12 to +12hrs]",5.5, -12,12,1); // Lunar cycle LunarMonth=29.530589; Offset=7.254621; // Calendar } leap=frac(Year( )/4)==0 AND frac(Year()/ 100)!=0 OR frac(Year()/ 400)==0; y=Year()*365+ int(Year( )/4)-int( Year()/100) +int(Year( )/400); m= IIf(Month()==2,31-leap, IIf(Month()==3,59, IIf(Month()==4,90, IIf(Month()==5,120, IIf(Month()==6,151, IIf(Month()==7,181, IIf(Month()==8,212, IIf(Month()==9,243, IIf(Month()==10,273, IIf(Month()==11,304, IIf(Month()==12,334, -leap))))))) )))); CurrentDay=y+ m+Day()-TZ/ 24-Offset; // Full Moon } FM=frac(CurrentDay/ LunarMonth) ; FM=PeakBars( FM, 1, 1)==0; // New Moon } NM=frac((CurrentDay +LunarMonth/ 2)/LunarMonth) ; NM=PeakBars( NM, 1,1)==0; FullMoon=FM-NM==1; NewMoon=FM-NM==-1; //Plot Moon Phase on main chart MC = ParamToggle("Moon Cycle","Show|Hide",0); shape = IIf(FullMoon,shapeCircle+shapePositionAbove,IIf(NewMoon,shapeCircle+shapePositionAbove,Null)); if(MC==1) PlotShapes(shape,IIf(FullMoon,colorWhite,colorYellow),0,H); _SECTION_END(); ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ ============================================================================================================== Lunar Cycles for Metastock: {Lunar cycles - from Jose Silva} {Full/New/Q1/Q3 Moon signals indicator Mk XV. Plots: +1 signal on Full Moon; -1 on New Moon; +0.5 on first Quarter; -0.5 on last Quarter. Accurate to within 2 hours every 19 years. Signals that fall on holidays or weekends are plotted on the next trading day. Use the signal advance input to view approaching signals. Adj lunar signals to market's local Time Zone (generally add 1hr for Daylight Saving Time): New Zealand: +12hrs Australia: +10 Japan: +9 SE Asia: +8 Thai/Indonesia: +7 India: +5.5 Dubai: +4 Moscow: +3 Europe: +1 UK & Portugal: 0 USA, NY: -5 Chicago: -6 http://www.travel.com.hk/region/timezone.htm Copyright © 2001-2009 Jose Silva. The grant of this license is for personal use only - no resale or repackaging allowed. All code remains the property of Jose Silva.} { User inputs } TZ:=Input("Market's local Time Zone? [-12hrs to +12hrs]",-12,12,-5); shift:=Input("Advance signal by x calendar days",-30,30,0); plot:=Input("Plot Q1 and Q3 (half) signals? [1]Yes, [0]No",0,1,0); { Lunar cycle length in days (synodic month) } LunarMonth:=29.53059; offset:=4.86; { Calendar engine } y:=Year()-(Month()<3); leap:=Int(y/4)-Int(y/100)+Int(y/400); mth:=Int((2+153*(Month()-3+12*(Month()<3)))/5); dayNr:=DayOfMonth()+mth+y*365+leap-657382 -offset-TZ/24+shift; { New/Q1/Full/Q3 Moon cycles } NM:=Frac((DayNr+LunarMonth/2)/LunarMonth); Q1:=Frac((DayNr+LunarMonth/4)/LunarMonth); FM:=Frac(DayNr/LunarMonth); Q3:=Frac((DayNr-LunarMonth/4)/LunarMonth); { Lunar cycle signals } cycle:=FM-NM; FM:=cycle<0 AND Alert(cycle>0,2); NM:=-(cycle>0 AND Alert(cycle<0,2)); cycle:=Q1-Q3; Q1:=(cycle<0 AND Alert(cycle>0,2))*.5; Q3:=(cycle>0 AND Alert(cycle<0,2))*-.5; signals:=If(plot=1,NM+Q1+FM+Q3,NM+FM); { Plot Lunar signals in own window } signals ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Since several have mentioned moon cycles, here's my contribution: motorcycles! Get to really know this diagram, and you'll understand the true nature of market cycles! Or something.
%% FOR SURE moon phases affect animals + humans +criminal activity[not that all traders/inVestors are crooks/LOL] BUT moon data is a common old school common measure; full moon is around mid month
My crystal ball told me a few days ago to just load the boat with TQQQ or MNQ and hang on tight until the day chart shows a likely reversal happening, and not try to second guess individual stonks. Seems to be working okay-ish. Sometimes simple is good.
there was a study that showed the daily performance of the Dow correlated to the temperature in Central Park.