zagged when it should have zigged

Same here....except it was (SPY) , thankfully I was in very small because that 200d MA was staring me in the face.

Hopefully the market will just chop sideways all day. (i say this because usually what ever I wish for, the opposite happens)

Happy Trading.
TGIF

 

It looks like even the gap on 4/2 will be closed soon.

 

The gap on 4/2 was more than 2%. They close only 36% of the time on the same day. Therefore, the probabilities are not in your favor.

--Db

 

I have noticed that most gaps on the S&P are filled with 5 trading days. I wonder if anybody has done a study, but I'd be shocked if more than 10% of gaps remained open after a week of trading.

 

Several sectors and individual names gave a heads up on the gap failing.

 

If gap fading were the only strategy one uses, it could be profitable because of the statistics on the side of the closing of the gap.

Also, the nature of the trade is that the risk to reward ratio would be favorable.