Don’t fight the FED This summer rally was nice, But right now … Better do nothing ! I am bleeding ! Got 11 positions … Madness ! Bought FREY and ARHS today That’s definitely overtrading … Especially in a stage 4 bear market.
Let's see for ARHS. Doesn't look bad ! Nice Flag IMO Double top, Double Bottom. If there is momentum it should leave the base. What do you mean by biggest position ? At this point I normalize the risk across bets. Meaning I'll risk 0.5% per trade. Now depending on the Stop Loss to risk, There are bigger positions in my portfolio. My biggest Market Values or % of net liquidity are ASC (9.25%) CEG (9.21%) Usually the biggest position are the less volatile, Because that's the less leveraged ones. Wider SL or Less volatile instruments. The Risk / Reward is more or less normalized. Meaning all position have the same weight on my portfolio.
This sound counter intuitive. But that's the case. Maybe I should have used the word "Leveraged" But riskiest or volatile. I'll have to allocate more apple than, let's say, Ethereum, In order to achieve the same Risk / Reward profile. If ETH has 10x the volatility of AAPL Then I have to buy 10x more AAPL to balance the ETH + AAPL portfolio This relationship is simply made by risking x% from entry to stop loss
Yes. Lesson’s taught. Still have 5 open positions, I’ve not been stopped out yet. AMPS, BOWL, ADN, FREY and ANIX. None of them is in profit but the last one. I’ll wait for more bullishness to open further positions.
Toughest thing for an active trader is to do nothing. I have to keep telling myself that cash is a position with little downside.
You’re doing good by sitting on cash. There is a lot of uncertainty right now, Everything is just going down but yields. Nice job ! It’s okay to miss the bottom, It’s better to be a few days late, Than a few days early. Cash is indeed a position ! At this point bullish is sideways. Why get into drawdown for nothing ?! You’re the best ! Trade what you see. Not wh you think. Who cares if I believe into a bounce ? Even myself I shouldn’t even care
I agree for most part. Taken me 45 years to develop 6 Holy Grail systems, over 100k hours of screen time. From stocks to options to futures, you watch something long enough, be able to do what many say can't be done, this is what makes for systems that seldom lose. One buddy who failed for years day trading, taught last recent HG and he has nailed 175 trades in a row winners. What's funny is rules are on two pages and only trades with trend. But I know in my heart, if I openingly shared with masses, it would stop working. And it so simple, posting trades, smart traders would figure it out in 2 minutes. It's fun to seldom lose. What is difference between most is not working toward largest profits but learning to not take viable signals based on previous price action. At least in my opinion.