You are more likely to become a top Hollywood actor or popstar than profitable trader

Discussion in 'Psychology' started by crgarcia, Jun 3, 2010.

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  1. or they are fooled by the daytrading dream just like the lottery dream, its a dream nonetheless and nothing else.

    i know a guy who won 350 million in a lottery, now should i go buy lottery tickets everyday?

    some guy on a message board tells me to watch the screen of a cimputer 10 years 8 hours a day. then ill become a millionaire. what the heck, this is about crazy as it gets!
     
    #251     Oct 21, 2010
  2. Are you mental? Anyone who comes into daytrading with this mentality quickly exits the game. It's NOTHING like trying to win the lottery. So any fool who thinks all one has to do is sit down, push some buttons and the money will roll in quickly learns this isn't the case and moves on.

    See, this is the disconnect here, you think successful daytrading is just luck like winning the lottery. I'm saying it's not luck at all. If you base your entire argument on the idea that daytraders who are successful are lucky, then there is no hope for you to see the truth.



     
    #252     Oct 21, 2010
  3. I know a guy who you can call who will tell you that if you make enough toasted cheese sandwiches you will see Jesus . . . load up on the bread and cheese.

    Common sense is a rare commodity indeed.
     
    #253     Oct 21, 2010
  4. common sense dictates daytrading has no edge. thats common sense. you people are all going against common sense. daytrading ignores premarket movements, which have increased so much last past years they move now more compared to intraday movements.
     
    #254     Oct 22, 2010
  5. the truth? daytrading has no edge. common sense. you assume only money-hungry dumb people enter daytrading game. but also smart people will. based on failure stats of 90% and estimate 50% of people entering so 40% losing money are smart people. It's a huge waste of human capital. Smart people are exactly the type of people not to quit, even if common sense dictates daytrading has no edge. because they are smart.
     
    #255     Oct 22, 2010
  6. Your failure rates are overstated, at least according to the paper I linked above. Yes, the paper is a snapshot in time, but at least according to that snapshot, almost half of daytraders were profitable.

    As long as people aren't even clear on the facts, there's no point in stating whether daytrading has an edge or not because any statement of that nature requires factual back-up and, as of now, there is nothing but anecdotal or selective evidence.
     
    #256     Oct 22, 2010
  7. David70

    David70

    I have been day trading since 1996 and still paying my bill, so the edge is there for some.
     
    #257     Oct 22, 2010
  8. Holy crap, this guy has to be trolling, that is the only explanation
     
    #258     Oct 22, 2010
  9. You are clueless.
    You are irrelevant.
    I'm one of the first people to actively and openly promote pre-market movement as being an intricate part of the overall price action each day.
     
    #259     Oct 22, 2010
  10. you are clueless
    you are irrelevant
    you make no sense and have no common sense:p
     
    #260     Oct 22, 2010
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