YM test system

Discussion in 'Strategy Building' started by cmaxb, Jan 5, 2008.

  1. cmaxb

    cmaxb

    Yeah, I'm waiting for a big drawdown. I am going to have to abandon the eSignal platform as I need more than six months of data. I don't even have 10K anyway, so I guess I have the time.
     
    #11     Jan 6, 2008
  2. It looks good so far.. but its only 6 months of testing and a little under 200 trades. Its almost certain that when you run this over the 2 years of data like you plan it will look NOTHING like this. I'd be surprised if its even net positive over the missing 1 and 1/2 years.....

    However, you just never know until you test it. Good luck
     
    #12     Jan 6, 2008
  3. I agree with frost. And the things that give credence IMO, Confidence Limit of only .508, outliers running at a full 25%, and a W/L of only 53%. Additionally, the # bars (20m) per trade SUGGESTS overnight holds, which incur substantially more market risk vs regular trading hours.

    Osorico
     
    #13     Jan 6, 2008
  4. those are big stops and targets for YM intraday.

    Do you close all positions at end of day?
     
    #14     Jan 6, 2008
  5. cmaxb

    cmaxb

    Yes. Trades can initiate at 6 am.
     
    #15     Jan 6, 2008