yen to weaken: prediction

Discussion in 'Forex' started by traderob, Jun 6, 2016.

  1. Cswim63

    Cswim63

    Ok 104.50 it's worth a shot long. All the fear seems to be already baked in to the currencies. I would expect aud to rally as well. Stop? I have no idea. Probably as big as you can tolerate. It may trade like a fed day
     
    #11     Jun 22, 2016
    victorycountry likes this.
  2. I got long last week at 104.35, and that's where it is as I write
    that's just one of my dollar trades, I'm net long usd and scrambling to get neutral
    no real opinion on the yen. I'll be adding some more to my long usd.jpy next week or maybe friday.
     
    #12     Jun 22, 2016
    Cswim63 likes this.
  3. Cswim63

    Cswim63

    I'm reluctantly bearish on the dollar vs euro, aud,perhaps the pound. Just based on the tape. I think that gold may have bottomed so I would try to hold on to a position as long as I could. Actually I think if it works, the gold trade has a lot of potential. I just don't see how the central banks get out of this without printing and printing some more. Aussie seems to be moving roughly in tandem
     
    #13     Jun 22, 2016
  4. What do you mean by based on the tape ??
     
    #14     Jun 22, 2016
  5. Cswim63

    Cswim63

    Just price action. I have been seeing the dollar rally, then stall. More and more. And it was against my view going back to last fall
    It would now surprise me to see the dollar strengthen over an extended period of time.
     
    #15     Jun 22, 2016
  6. Cswim63

    Cswim63

    Btw I treat USD/JPY separately. It seems to run by itself mostly.
     
    #16     Jun 22, 2016
    victorycountry likes this.
  7. Cswim63

    Cswim63

    Wow, I guess risk wasn't priced in after all
     
    #17     Jun 23, 2016
  8. Cswim63

    Cswim63

    It will be interesting after the fact to measure the move in the pound. Has to be right up there in history. Now I can see why the trading houses were so cautious. They must have seen the positions building on either side. . .10 handles in a few hours. Unbelievable.
     
    #18     Jun 23, 2016
  9. Cswim63

    Cswim63

    You know, about 2 pm et I had this feeling that this move up was a little too easy. I didn't post it and nobody cares anyway. Just a reminder of my old daytrading days, when I took those feelings seriously. If you have a good profit and your gut says lighten up, you probably should lighten up.
     
    #19     Jun 23, 2016
  10. oh, I get it, they are buying the dollar and the yen, flight to safety, I went in short aud, gbp and jpy and long everything else and usd neutral so it's just a lot of spinning for me
     
    #20     Jun 24, 2016