I expect they have been attempting to manipulate multiple betting markets. Once sign of this is the lack of large bets on other races -- only for Trump in the Presidential race.
Kamala will steal the election supported by the woke military, DOD allowing lethal force against civilians in an emergency. Sure you can vote just to certify you have a conscious, likely a global command and control economy is coming soon. Even if your vote is negated you still can vote with your behavior and goals. All of this chaos is to train and manipulate us.
I don't look at Polymarket from a political perspective, but from a trading point of view. This was posted on X a short time ago, and it's tough to argue against his logic. At ET we are traders, so what's the point of griping? If you think it's being heavily manipulated, then place a huge bet on Kamala while the odds are incredibly favorable to make money. Unless, of course, this whole thread is just to whine and you have serious doubts about the Polymarket numbers being fixed...
WSJ reported that four accounts are trying to manipulate the Polymarket, how does that count as a whine? And WSJ is not some left wing publication, they have the same owners as Fox News. And the point is the divergence from the polling, betting markets showing a huge skew compared to polls which show a tied race.
There is no doubt that the numbers on the new platform Polymarket are being manipulated, and this amounts to election meddling. Considering that the CFTC has fined Polymarket and banned Americans from using it for betting because it’s unregulated, decentralised and frankly, sketchy... Sure, you might get your winnings, if the platform survives long enough to pay out. I expect it will though. But by placing bets on a compromised platform, you're not just taking a financial risk; you're also undermining the integrity of democracy, knowing that Polymarket takes its cut regardless of the outcome. If it continues gaining volume and publicity, it could become a much bigger problem for the Western world, enabling more widespread manipulation in the future.
ET wouldn’t exist without griping and whining. Me thinks, you wouldn’t be commenting if the MAGA crowd was whining and griping about manipulation. Ive never met a successful trader that didn’t have a gripe. It’s the nature of the biz.
Hardly a tied race. Even with the national polling if you factor in Trumps history of overperforming the polls and no Democrat winning the presidency without winning the popular vote by at least 4 points since 1976 he is far ahead with Harris only having a 1.5 point lead.
Trumps odds of winning are around 80-90%. Buying when the price is around 50% is a great deal if you trust those betting sites.