well one of the themes of this thread is that the markets are efficient. you can never know who is on the other side of your trade and certainly can't specify an order to "FILL ONLY IF THE OTHER SIDE OF THIS TRADE DOESN'T KNOW WHAT THEY'RE DOING." at best you have to assume that the market is correct and that over the long run you are trading the negative expectancy game.
Dummy-variable is one of Maverick's other screennames. It's funny how the guy created screennames to respond to himself and pat his own back.
Too funny. I'll take that as a compliment. I have never written as well as Mike. This guy has me beat hands down. What, you think I created another alias that suddenly has incredible writing skills? LOL. Keep up the good detective work Deringer.
I've been following this thread since the beginning. I've noticed that Dummy Variable is only around in this thread. He's not in any other threads, and it's so coincidental that he only shows up here to support you when you are in some heat. The timing is always so perfect. When you make a claim that you are too busy for this thread, Dummy Variable always suddenly shows up to answer for you and he's also here to give you (yourself) constant praise. lol There were instances in this thread that you responded in like 3am in the morning, and not even 2 minutes later, Dummy-variable suddenly appeared to repeat exactly the same thing, all done in a very similar voice and style except he doesn't capitalize anything. Just pure coincidence though, right. And in the last couple pages, you said you wanted no more of this thread, but then suddenly, out of nowhere, Dummy Variable appears again to only resupport what you wanted to say. How convenient. That's just a very noticeable and observable pattern. Just a funny observation.
Deringer, I guess this goes to show you that you can't be a conspiracy guy on ET. I assure you Mike is very real. Go over to the Optionetics board, he has a few thousand posts he has written over the years under the same screen name. Very good writer. I also have my own options message board and he writes a lot on there as well. I assure, it's not me talking to myself. I also run an educational group if you live in the Chicago area. Mike actually attends these meetings in the flesh. We are definitely separate people who happen to both be night owls. LOL. You can meet both of us at these meetings if you like. I just think it's funny that Mike and I see things so much alike that we appear to be the same person. It's actually hysterical how these conspiracy theories come about on ET.
i also have an observation... as you can see, Maverick has used the word "then" when he meant "than". i've seen his other posts in the past that shows the same thing. dummy-variable used the word "than" and "then" correctly. in my opinion, i don't think Maverick is the same person as dummy-variable. peace
The attached abstract may have some ideas. --------------------------------------------------------- http://www.fengshui-123.com
dummy-variable, If the skill trader can alter the odds" so to speak..., and to select those ripples..., then why he can't do it when he first entering the first leg to get the +expectancy? By the way, bid/ask and commission added up with all other factors not necessary resulted in negative expectancy, they are just parts of the factors that have negative effect. If options are not discrete events. they are not coin flips or other binary either/or situations, then it is meaningless to say that it has negative expectancy at the snapshot(ie. you entering the trade). ------------------------------------------------------- http://www.fengshui-123.com