1/4 position YM @57, tight 9pt hard stop... a good bounce likely, but not expecting much until late. Osorico EDIT: stop moved to 53. no action = not ready to pop EDIT: stopped @53. Will look long later. Good trading to all, Osorico
You are absolutely correct, and I do not base my trading on the VIX alone. However, when it reaches extreme conditions, it can be quite predictive. The fact that it gapped down huge and is now positive is good indication this rally has weak legs, in my opinion.
Could you explain a bit further on the predictive nature of the VIX at extreme conditions? What do you define as extreme? 20-day highs/lows, 10% above or below a certain MA, etc? A strict definition of the 'extreme' condition can be quikcly tested...and I'll be glad to do so. Regards