Winning Options Strategy on CT

Discussion in 'Options' started by MikaDelattreTrader, Oct 23, 2024.

  1. Sure, very good question. IMHO this is likely because the market or someone is overestimating how volatile October will be compared to November, which raises October’s option prices more than usual. This call skew, is usually more balanced but seems off here, creating this nice opportunity. Also, small differences in interest rates add to this setup, making November a cheaper option to buy right now. But since these kinds of mispricings get corrected fast, it’s a good opportunity that might not last long, making this trade worth considering now.
     
    #31     Oct 25, 2024
    cartouche and getthatintoya like this.
  2. upload_2024-10-25_8-51-4.png
     
    #32     Oct 25, 2024
    cartouche likes this.
  3. As per this chart, you can see that you can't do this trade with the puts. Nov-25 puts are more expensive. I beleive in the near future, that the skews will match, Nov-25 will take back his place and this arbitrage will vanish...
     
    #33     Oct 25, 2024
    cartouche likes this.
  4. why is it not perfectly aligned, the switch is only about 1.00 ?
     
    #34     Oct 25, 2024
  5. Hi mikadelattretrader - I have been working a bit on a paper (attached) for this strategy. I like the idea and been doing some trades there too! Let me know what you guys think! Appreciated!
     
    #35     Oct 25, 2024
    nbbo, NouhailaChraibi, poopy and 3 others like this.
  6. Wahoo soniadebaeke !!! This is exceptional. I'm really impressed by the way you use math to nail it. it's amazing.
    Thank you so much
     
    #36     Oct 25, 2024
    cartouche likes this.
  7. Pleasure! :thumbsup:
     
    #37     Oct 25, 2024
  8. Seems off... Have you calculated the exit slippage just in case ?
     
    #38     Oct 28, 2024
  9. The more the odds of a Trump victory the more bearish I get on CT, CL, ZW... Just look at oil today ;)
    upload_2024-10-28_18-46-49.png
     
    #39     Oct 28, 2024
    soniadebaeke likes this.
  10. poopy

    poopy


    I lived in Marseille for 2Y. Welcome.
     
    #40     Oct 28, 2024