Any thoughts on the analysis posted on Monday http://www.marketvolume.com/analysis/marketanalysis2015.asp
us dip buyers have done very well over the last 5 (or 20 years.) You have to give the strength sellers a little time to catch up. I advise anyone under the age of 50 who still has a real job to keep making regular contributions to their 100% stock portfolio (especially if it is tax sheltered.) Over 50 and you may not have enough time to recover new money from a bear market by the time you need the money, and then it is time to diversify new money somewhere other than stocks. Demographics play a role. If you are young and you love bull markets get out there and start making some babies to keep this ponzi scheme going.
[partial QUOTE="ETcallhome, post: 4221724, member: 490048"]us dip buyers have done very well over the last 5 (or 20 years.) You have to give the strength sellers a little time to catch up. I advise anyone under the age of 50 who still has a real job to keep making regular contributions to their 100% stock portfolio (especially if it is tax sheltered.) Over 50 and you may not have enough time to recover new money from a bear market by the time you need the money, and then it is time to diversify new money somewhere other than stocks. Demographics play a role. If you are young and you love bull markets get out there and start.......[/QUOTE] %%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%% Good points. Citigroup is a penny stock , reverse split, to hide that fact.... C + BAC are in 10 year downtrends. Sock market[NOT counting stuff like Lehman, Bear,Laugh Out Loud, C, BAC.....] tends to Uptrend; see past 200 years-LOL, dip buyers.1987 was an up year, overall.Problem for the bulls now= its such an mature, mature bull market; C + BAC pay little, little dividends, another problem for the bulls..........................................................................................................
I do not think anything happens during the holiday when trading usually goes on low volume. The volatility is rising, so, I would say, as of now, the odds are good to see the indexes below August's support in January of 2016. If volatility stops rising than we will not see it or it will be delayed.
and where will that money that leaves the stock market go? Be a while, many years before the investor feels a .25 basis point rise in their cash.
And in August the S&P 500 dropped about 19% from the highest high. Deeper than in August correction does not mean market crash. The highest daily volume on the S&P 500 in August was 4.6 B shares. It is nothing for the market. During the correction in August of 2011 we saw 7 B shares traded per day on the S&P 500. Where money may go: in cash, in commodities in currencies. With rate hike $ should be a safe place. maybe you are right that investor will not feel rate hike for a while. Still there are number of funds which borrowed a lot and which performed bad https://beta.finance.yahoo.com/news...5-times-worse-than-you-thought-134706002.html They may feel rate hike faster...