Will Trump cause a bear market (if he wins) ?

Discussion in 'Trading' started by TrAndy2022, Oct 31, 2024.

Will Trump cause a bear market (if he wins) with more than -25% drawdown in the SP500 ?

Poll closed Nov 7, 2024.
  1. Yes

    12 vote(s)
    41.4%
  2. No

    17 vote(s)
    58.6%
  1. I think most economists don’t either, really.
     
    #121     Nov 13, 2024
    ironchef likes this.
  2. There is only one path left to control inflation, now that government debt is so high they can't afford 5% interest payments on it. You have to cut government spending and take the recession.

    There is no other way. Too much money got spent after all those bribes they paid during covid, to get as many positive test results as possible and get as many needles in arms as they could.

    Everyone knows doctors are not the millionaire next door, despite their high income and pharma bribes. They buy boats and pour money into the hole in the water, and their trophy wivez
     
    #122     Nov 13, 2024
  3. ironchef

    ironchef

    Like an economist, you overthink the problem. For us plebeians, it is simple:

    Just devalue the US dollar. Debt is paper, like my paper day trading profits. :p:p:p
     
    #123     Nov 13, 2024
  4. They have no choice but to print cash or ditch the diversity officers. The system has hit critical mass and is about to melt down if the mommies in charge are not terminated IMMEDIATELY

    Trump sandbagged it first time.

    d.JPG
     
    #124     Nov 14, 2024
  5. ironchef

    ironchef

    Another non economist solution:

    The FED can print enough $ to buy all of the USG's outstanding debts, around the world, so there is no other entity owning any net USG debt. Problem solved.

    And every month, the interests generated from those debt goes back to the Treasury to be spent. :D:D:D
     
    #125     Nov 14, 2024
  6. Sergio123

    Sergio123

    The real solution is with technolgy. Eventually a Teslabot has a lower cost basis than a laborer slaving away making Nike shoes in some 3rd World Sweatshop.

    Then the Teslabots won't even be able to keep up with the demand to build more of themselves.
     
    #126     Nov 14, 2024
  7. SunTrader

    SunTrader

    More Trumpy Tariiffs, who also loves bigly, bigly debt are driving the move to the Dollar, so a lower Dollar anytime soon doesn't seem to be on the table.
     
    #127     Nov 18, 2024
  8. The chainsaw is getting oiled and fueled up for the coming RIFs.....

    https://www.zerohedge.com/political/ramaswamy-says-some-government-agencies-will-be-deleted-outright
     
    #128     Nov 18, 2024
  9. Andrew34

    Andrew34

    I feel the same way that Trump policies will be inflationary as the analysts are speculating it and due to these inflationary policies USD will not go low but high.
     
    #129     Nov 19, 2024
  10. Picaso

    Picaso

    Relying on China or assuming it will do X instead of Y is a risky proposition because 1) they will try to do what benefits them, not the US or anyone else, and 2) centrally planned economies have a way of backfiring in unexpected ways.

    ---

    This (somecompanynotnecesarilyTesla-bots), not GAI, is going to be the world economy's breaking point in the not so distant future, imho.
     
    #130     Nov 19, 2024