Will Trump cause a bear market (if he wins) ?

Too often we are bias by politics.

I am not an economist nor have any formal financial education or ever work in finance. Indeed I could be very wrong.

But look at after 2009, all government flooded the world with money yet for a decade there were no inflation. Most economists at the time predicted uncontrollable inflation to come rapidly but they were wrong.

Economics is called the dismal science for a reason so don't be so sure sir.

 

they say that was because the deflation was so bad that the inflation countered it.

 

This might be the worst thread posted here. MY goodness. Enjoy your endless bull market everyone.

 

Whatever it was called, those of us who were ignorant of economic principles got really lucky betting against the experts.

This time is different? Look at today's market.

 

I am.

 

the smartest decision I ever made was levering up my personal balance sheet over the last 15 years.

 

Well he has won the elections and as we all were expecting its a bullish market to trade whether it is crypto or currency pair everywhere USD is standing strong.

 

There you have it: The deflation in China is so bad it could counter Trump's tariff?

 

I don’t understand how inflation and international trade works.

 

I am not an economist, I don't either.

But imagine if deflation in China causes their fundamental cost structure to drop 30% in US$. That could counter a 30% Trump tariff and the cost of Chinese import will be cheaper for the average US consumers?

As a command, centrally planned economy, China can engineer such a scenario easily?