Will Trump cause a bear market (if he wins) ?

Discussion in 'Trading' started by TrAndy2022, Oct 31, 2024.

Will Trump cause a bear market (if he wins) with more than -25% drawdown in the SP500 ?

Poll closed Nov 7, 2024.
  1. Yes

    12 vote(s)
    41.4%
  2. No

    17 vote(s)
    58.6%
  1. SunTrader

    SunTrader

    And Jan 6th 4 years ago was just the warmup:-

    !JuntaDon.png
     
    #91     Nov 2, 2024
    poopy likes this.
  2. Sergio123

    Sergio123

    The President can influence the markets via legislation and spending policies and applying pressure to a just a few corporations.

    The markets are getting stale......Time to mix things up.

    Palantir could become the next megacap.

    DJT or X could acquire the US assets and subscriber base of TikTok.

    Several stocks in the major indexes can can get their weightings and positions within the indexes shifted around.
     
    #92     Nov 2, 2024
  3. SunTrader

    SunTrader

    Last one already done.

    Nvidia replacing Intel and Sherwin Williams replacing Dow Chemical in the Dow 30 - announced yesterday. That's what happens when ya focus is on a Bald FakeTan Fat Belly POS.
     
    #93     Nov 2, 2024
  4. 2rosy

    2rosy

    Inflation and rates are up now and stocks are at ath. Also, depending where and how one defines these attributes any conclusion can be drawn.
     
    #94     Nov 2, 2024
  5. SunTrader

    SunTrader

    The short and sweet for reading-challenged Magas, if he wins expect higher prices for almost everything.

    (MORNINGBREW)

    ECONOMY

    Companies are bracing for Trump tariffs
    [​IMG]Spencer Platt/Getty Images

    Former President Donald Trump promises a protectionist bonanza if he returns to the White House, with a 60% duty on Chinese imports and a 10–20% tariff on goods from the rest of the world.

    American companies are treating the tough tariff talk as seriously as you’d treat a “call me now” text from your landlord. They’re preparing by stocking up on imported inventory, moving supply chains out of China, and planning to raise prices on consumers in the event that the campaign rhetoric becomes a reality.

    Pricey tariffs
    Trump says steep tariffs will benefit domestic producers and encourage foreign manufacturers to set up shop in the US, assuring that higher import costs will be borne by foreign companies that send goods to the US.

    But while some Made in USA purveyors would benefit, and foreign producers might offer American businesses discounts to offset the tariffs, US companies in import-dependent industries will be the ones on the hook for the import duties—and they are already saying they expect to pass on the extra costs to their customers.

    • “It’s going to be very, very difficult to keep products affordable for Americans,” Columbia Sportswear CEO Timothy Boyle told the Washington Post.
    • The publication points out that autoparts seller AutoZone told investors that it will raise prices, even before it knows what the tariffs will be.
    The Trump campaign claims pundits were too bearish on the tariffs enacted during his first term—but economists note they were more limited and still led to price increases.

    Big picture: Economists estimate that American household costs will rise by about $1,700 to $4,300 per year if Trump acts on his tariff promises, per PolitiFact. They warn that rising inflation will lead the Federal Reserve to keep interest rates high, resulting in elevated mortgage rates and pricey auto loans. Some experts believe that the recent rise in mortgage rates is partially tied to expectations of a Trump victory.—SK
     
    #95     Nov 2, 2024
  6. wrbtrader

    wrbtrader

    If Trump wins, but does what he promises to do involving Tariffs...he will fuck up the economy, interest rates et cetera or he will not do anything and leave everything as is but continue to take credit for a good-performing stock market, good job rates, and declining inflation et cetera as he's recently been trying to do the past few weeks.

    Simply, miraculously the economy is no longer a shit economy if he were to win back the White House...similar to when he tried to take credit for healthcare when he took office in 2016 but everybody made him feel sick to his stomach by reminding him it's Obamacare.

    Yet, in those 4 years when he was President, he couldn't design something better than Obamacare except to make endless promises that "he has a plan (concepts)". :D

    wrbtrader
     
    #96     Nov 2, 2024
  7. MarkBrown

    MarkBrown

  8. SunTrader

    SunTrader

    And don't they soooooo happy and excited during that press conference. :p

    0.05% of US population. Harris sez darn.
     
    #98     Nov 3, 2024
  9. Yeah they look like they were promised a free pizza and a $25 gift certificate if they stood still for 10 minutes, wearing those hats. :)

    I'm paranoid enough to wonder if the "real" DJT is gone and this new guy is another SNL stand-in, like how the real Vlad Putin changed to the nicer one with a bigger head, 30 years ago.

    We might all be getting trolled, or maybe just rick rolled!

     
    #99     Nov 3, 2024
  10. Sergio123

    Sergio123

    Thats a cool nickname. Don 'The Con'.

    He wouldd fit right into our firm.We all got our nicknames over at l'azienda di famiglia too......
    Why you got my brother: 'Black shirt Wearing' Benito.
    My other Bro: 'Badmiral' Ermanno.
    My Cuz: Joey 'Goose Step'
    My other Cuz: Enrico 'The Hammer'.
    Last but not least, The Capo di Capi: My Uncle Adolfo. He got the nicname: ' Signore Piccolo Baffi'
    He's gotta mistress: Eva Maria Marrone.
     
    #100     Nov 4, 2024