My point is that trading is a probability game where 50% is likely the most accurate odd of any calls (volonte or yours) but that letting your profits run when you are right and cut your losses when you are wrong provides the best edge to make money. But maybe you have a better system with a better probability. The system I run right now, based on two days swing, generates a better probability betwen 50% and 58%, but even a year at 50% I make money because the winners are bigger.
that's nice. although it has nothing to do with what i'm referring to. 50% is the most likely odds of any call? really? I call that the S&P will get over 1300 by the end of June. is that 50/50 odds? volote asked me to pick 6 numbers on the roulette wheel, while he takes the other 30, and then wants to make a 50/50 bet. no dice. I ask volote to bet me on equal ground. I know more about statistics than volote ever will, and so i'm not afraid to make a 50/50 wager. as you can see, he ran like a scared chicken when I proposed a fair bet. he doesn't have the balls to make a fair bet, he needs the odds 4 to 1 in his favor to battle me.