Stagflation is more confusing than 2008 crisis (where risk on/off forex pair like jpy pairs move in same direction as indices).
I recalled Usd/jpy like all jpy pairs went in the same direction as indices though it was less volatile. The three most volatile were Nzd/jpy, Aud/jpy and Gbp/jpy. Gbp/chf decline was big too but not as much as Gbp/jpy which meant chf was about 3rd in strength ranking compared to usd(no.2) and yen(no.1) in 2008.
Commodities are rising means AUD will stay supported. Also Euro seems to be overwhelmed with recoil from Russian sanctions and energy security risks so it looks like outlook for returns on European assets is worsening. Medium-term EURAUD and EURUSD short positions look quite justified in this situation.
I think so too. But I am seriously hurting because of the pullback yesterday. I'm crossing my fingers it turns around soon.
The market is already quite unpredictable and this whole Russia-Ukraine war situation has added to the unpredictability. I’m not too optimistic about the performance of EUR at the moment. Any clarity on this currency pair is only possible once the war gets over.
Due to supply limitations of commodities and geopolitical tensions between Ukraine and Russia has led to increasing inflation resulting in pressurising the Eurozone. The euro market is bearish and I am not preferring to trade this pair