Why TA does not work

Discussion in 'Technical Analysis' started by JMN459, Oct 9, 2012.

  1. cornix

    cornix

    You clearly confuse predicting with placing bets on odds in your favor. Trying to predict future is impossible and stupid, placing bets when odds are stacked in your favor is reasonable and profitable activity.
     
    #231     Oct 22, 2012
  2. There is a difference between a blind monkey throwing darts at prices , and a fund manager who under performs the monkey.Do you know the difference?
     
    #232     Oct 22, 2012
  3. cornix

    cornix

    Why do you compare monkey to a loser HF manager only? Do you believe nobody can trade better than a monkey?
     
    #233     Oct 22, 2012
  4. I was even thinking of you too and how this mantra demonstrates your reading and comprehension difficulties when I wrote the last sentence from this post. You don't to read before that as you can't understand any of it.

    Enjoy the mystery Freak.

    Quote from marketsurfer:

    What is your chart telling you about Monday? You TA folks speak in riddles that can easily be interpreted after the fact to mean anything. Please be specific. My Price Drivers are signaling bullish for Monday.

    I maintain, once TA shows it, its too late or of negligible value in MOST cases. Enough so to negate the value of such an approach. Clearly, it can be shown in a very small number of circumstances to have value-- such as the daily candle in JCP-- but its not repeatable enough to be of interest.

    surf


    It is telling you the welcome mat has been replaced by the trap door. It's not talking about Monday, it's talking about now - take profits and reverse short. You hold that short until you get a buy signal and that might be on Monday. It might be in a week or a month as this has the potential to roll through a lot of time frames.

    This is a dangerous position to be long imo because of the roll over potential. In any event bank profits, sell short and wait for the buy signal.

    Xspurt


    Ok, we have doubled down into the Dec YM long at 13497 signals are strong for a bullish monday and next week thus far. enjoy! Surf



    Great! I do like the sound of doubling - we got double elephants ;)

    Xspurt

    From the above it was clear that TA would have made a double profit by closing surf's long to bank profits and reversing short to add to profits from the fall.

    However surf's price drivers not only overstayed their welcome, they were extra bullish in a TA short set up and doubled up for a double loss instead of a double profit.

    Even reversing surf's price driver signals won't help much because of the lack of control.

    (For Oilfxpro, freak and the gang of trolls, Monday comes after Friday as every call I make is hindsight to you)
     
    #234     Oct 22, 2012
  5. #235     Oct 22, 2012
  6. #236     Oct 22, 2012
  7. 2 losses today , based on t/a
     
    #237     Oct 22, 2012
  8. cornix

    cornix

    Clearly a proof TA is junk. :D
     
    #238     Oct 22, 2012
  9. It shows 4 hours is up , it breaks out and breakout failure , mas are up , trend line failure , failed trend line. In hindsight t/a , this was a very easy profitable trade.
     
    #239     Oct 22, 2012
  10. here is the image
     
    #240     Oct 22, 2012