Why is TLT and IWM Diverging?

Discussion in 'ETFs' started by Sergio123, Jun 16, 2024.

  1. %%
    LOL=exactly.
    Like a profitable DOW derivatives daytrader noted ''DOW is correlated to itself ''
    LOL + so true:D:D[Edit i seldom do DOW, great profitable quote anyway]
     
    #21     Jun 25, 2024
  2. TLT reacting to serious doubts about the strength of the leadership and strength of the integrity of the US. As it may happen, TLT continues to follow steady downward trend and IWM starts a more robust downward trend going forward
     
    #22     Jun 28, 2024
  3. Sergio123

    Sergio123

    I don't know......

    Stocks were flat on the werk. IWM was the strongest index performer of the week with almost a 1% return.

    TLT down over 2% for the week. Started sliding down on Tuesday afternoon close to the close.

    Maybe just part of the stress test.
     
    #23     Jun 28, 2024
  4. lariatier

    lariatier

    If you have an opinion on this, then tell me what dates you have in mind? I actually don't care beyond this. I only care about being true to Alexander Kraskov at this stage of my learning. I may be completely wrong.
     
    #24     Jun 28, 2024
  5. Sergio123

    Sergio123

    It looks like uninversion is already underway to me.

    They must have rebalanced the Russell for it.
     
    #25     Jul 1, 2024
  6. On My...Its looking rough.
    This type of bond market activity used give signals before zero rate controls. Now that rates are no longer zero controlled...the bond market might be back to its old self. Which means Bonds are signaling serious danger and a Sell signal to the Stock Market.
    Im not really talking about IWM here. But rather stocks as a whole.
     
    #26     Jul 1, 2024
  7. Sergio123

    Sergio123

    EVs don't care. They laugh in the face of the Treasury market.
     
    #27     Jul 1, 2024
    Pricechange likes this.
  8. You were very correct on this .
    Im wondering...If the bond market got spooked over Biden's debat. And the Fed sees this. Will they just "ease interest rates" to smooth the general alarm?..yes , I think they will.
    I think the market now realizes they will ease a few times by December. And I think they will generally ignore current inflation. So, "no more divergence" between TLT and IWM. I see some nice gains on IWM coming.
     
    #28     Jul 5, 2024
  9. Sergio123

    Sergio123

    I think that they may cut a quarter point this year.

    The real "easing" will be through tapering.
     
    #29     Jul 5, 2024
  10. I always try to make logical sense of things. However...it really doesn't matter cuz the market going to keep moving higher...and higher.
     
    #30     Jul 6, 2024