Why Is The Obvious Not So Obvious?

Discussion in 'Risk Management' started by nysestocks, Jan 25, 2009.

  1. themickey

    themickey

    ^BTCUSD_Barchart_Interactive_Chart_11_04_2023(1).png
    Close up view of machine
     
    #8401     Nov 3, 2023
  2. schizo

    schizo

    Let's just say that you're reacting to the past in order to predict the future. You're a smart guy. I'm sure you'll figure it out in no time. :)
     
    #8402     Nov 3, 2023
    ironchef likes this.
  3. thanks, makes sense
     
    #8403     Nov 3, 2023
  4. Onra

    Onra

    After all those years: no... o_O

    But thanks for giving another confirmation there's indeed something out there!
    Someone told me that the Obvious is best seen in Bitcoin charts; do you agree?
     
    #8404     Nov 4, 2023
  5. trismes

    trismes

    just about the only accurate definition of the market I’ve read in years, coincidentally told to me over a decade back by the best trader I’ve ever met
     
    #8405     Nov 4, 2023
  6. Onra

    Onra

    @themickey :

    Mick; is this (one of many) examples of retail?
    Thanks.
     
    #8406     Nov 4, 2023
  7. themickey

    themickey

    I've said that in the past, Bitcoin behaves very well technically, imo manipulated nicely by the machines/robots.
    Can you not see the nice straight (short) trend lines, not in log charts but Linear.
    The same angles repeat time and again, but bear in mind while robots operate, so does retail at the same time, so lines/S/R can go out of whack at times.
     
    #8407     Nov 4, 2023
    Onra likes this.
  8. themickey

    themickey

    Markets behave strangely and because I'm not a pro, it's only what I've observed.
    Sometimes price looks obviously like being sold off when it's actually being bought and vice versa, ie although buyers and sellers are balanced eg every seller has a buyer, sometimes it looks like heavy selling but actually it is being accumulated by the smarts.

    Re your pic, if I see the trend all of a sudden go haywire/volatile, I'm assuming retail have taken over.
     
    #8408     Nov 4, 2023
    Onra likes this.
  9. themickey

    themickey

    Ok here's another lesson, I'm feeling generous today......

    RDN.AX is a penny stock on fhe ASX which is going gangbusters atm, currently trading at 3.9cents.

    RDN.AX_Barchart_Interactive_Chart_11_04_2023.png
    The chart above is Barchart.com of RDN intraday, 1 minute chart, just one day, Friday, yesterday.
    The chart is inaccurate, clumsy because it only shows price stepping in 0.001 cent increments.
    O.001 increments is the minimum which is allowed by the ASX on sub 10cent stocks.

    HOWEVER institutions are allowed to go even smaller.

    upload_2023-11-4_19-49-26.png
    Here's the same stock, same day, showing insto moves < 0.001.

    upload_2023-11-4_19-51-7.png

    This is a small snapshot of trades, same stock on Friday, for example 3.65 is $0.0365.
    This is instos engaged in trading this stock but my knowledge is very limited about this, all I know is these sub penny trades are usually very small dollar value for the most part, but here they are a little larger trades than usual, I don't understand what is going on, or why the frequent very small trades.
    Maybe it's the broker doing the buying for their clients - dunno.
     
    #8409     Nov 4, 2023
  10. ironchef

    ironchef

    Appreciate and thank you for your coaching. Folks like you and @schizo keeping us straight is what makes ET so valuable.

    We learn by asking questions, again and again until we have the right answer. That said, let me rephrase my statement:

    It is easy to understand and appreciate a pattern after it is created by the machine.

    In real time when the machine (market) starts to create the first candle on the left, I have no idea what he will be creating next.

    And I am clueless what to do at 1, 2, 3, or 4 other than wait and watch.

    I am actually doing OK day trading after I use @Buy1Sell2's strict risk management tenet and am able to create a positive expectancy out of it!

    The $64,000 question I am trying to find out: Is it random, an illusion or is it real?

    Best regards,
     
    #8410     Nov 4, 2023