Why Is The Obvious Not So Obvious?

Discussion in 'Risk Management' started by nysestocks, Jan 25, 2009.

  1. Onra

    Onra

    :wtf:
    But is it a (horizontal) range; so made up with 2 lines?
     
    #6741     Dec 7, 2020
  2. Vindago

    Vindago

    look at the balance between price fluctuations and you will see the groove, track, path...
     
    #6742     Dec 7, 2020
  3. M4-1

    M4-1

    the point for sure
    that most will lure
    the fools who be
    not you..or me :)

    Screenshot_2020-12-07-09-26-40-293_net.metaquotes.metatrader5.png
     
    #6743     Dec 7, 2020
  4. Vindago

    Vindago

    price will likely range for a bit on 30m TF, I would expect to go short eventually, might be wrong, of course:D
     
    #6744     Dec 7, 2020
  5. Vindago

    Vindago

    well, after gaining a bit more ESSENTIAL information, like looking at the chart on Daily TF I have to reconsider my previous statement. price has been trending up on a daily for quite some time and I have no reason to think why it should not keep doing that.

    I would see if it goes down a bit (like around 3670, though unlikely) and then enter long.

    In general I wouldn't trade this at this point, though.
     
    #6745     Dec 7, 2020
  6. M4-1

    M4-1

    what happens in 11 days time !
     
    #6746     Dec 7, 2020
  7. M4-1

    M4-1

    why would you ever want to draw lines on a chart..sure only fools do that :)

    Screenshot_2020-12-07-11-33-57-677_net.metaquotes.metatrader5.png
     
    #6747     Dec 7, 2020
  8. fairvalue

    fairvalue

    this is my interpretation of what VO tried to explain:

    • Pink arrows indicate the chime / tail
    • they are observed at the end of a "path" - a price development in one direction, indicating a change of sentiment / price
    • that blue line is a representation of a past reference level; here followed by a sharp reaction to the downside (point B)
    • a anticipation / theory could be, that in the region of the second blue arrow there should be some kind of reaction to the downside - it isn't
      • without a hindsight view, my favorite action would be to go long on the next bar - which would be wrong, as it is red
      • actually the red candle could serve as a kind of confirmation of the first pink arrow / tail: a softer version of price change to the downside
      • a anticipation/theory could be, that price tends to correct to the area of the first blue chart
    However, this is an attempt to explain and understand the techniques described - please hammer on it, if it is wrong, as it is not my intention to contribute with false or misleading information.

    interpret.png
     
    #6748     Dec 7, 2020
  9. M4-1

    M4-1

    price can only do 3 "main" things !!!

    Screenshot_2020-12-07-18-42-59-839_net.metaquotes.metatrader5.png
     
    #6749     Dec 7, 2020
  10. M4-1

    M4-1

    we are at an "important" price here..do you know why?
     
    #6750     Dec 7, 2020