Why Is The Obvious Not So Obvious?

Discussion in 'Risk Management' started by nysestocks, Jan 25, 2009.

  1. Placebo

    Placebo

    A placebo is a sham or simulated medical intervention that can produce a placebo effect. In medical research, placebos depend on the use of controlled and measured deception.

    mmm:eek:
     
    #1091     May 29, 2010


  2. "There are limits to even the strongest placebo effect. No simulation could set a broken arm, of course, or clear a blocked artery. As a rule, placebos appear to affect symptoms rather than underlying diseases--although sometimes, as in the case of depression or irritable bowel syndrome, there’s no meaningful distinction between the two. Moreover, placebos have often received undue credit for recovery that might have occurred anyway. Indeed, the effect is famously difficult to identify, measure, and even coherently define. There is debate about the magnitude of the response, with some calling it modest at best, and opposing the idea of using placebos clinically."

    "Phony treatment is hardly a novel concept in medicine. The word “placebo”--Latin for “I shall please”--has been used in a medical context since at least the late 1700s, referring to inert treatments given to placate patients. Arguably, until the scientific breakthroughs of the 20th century, medical history was little more than one long series of placebos."

    :D
     
    #1092     May 29, 2010
  3. To move on quickly, write down your answer to the following and how long it takes you to come up with the answer.



    1.

    elk
    mink
    mouse
    gibbon
    panther

    Which creature comes next? Is it:
    squirrel, tortoise, tigress, wildebeest, platypus or aardvark?
     
    #1093     May 29, 2010
  4. This is another one that also must be completed. Choose 5 for most agree=most applicable option, down to 1 for least agree=least applicable:

    1
    I find it very difficult to concentrate on just one subject or project
    for a long period without breaking off to do other things.
    5 4 3 2 1

    2
    I am more of a visionary, rather than someone who is down to
    earth and businesslike.
    5 4 3 2 1

    3
    I often have the urge to try out a new hobby, such as painting or
    playing a musical instrument.
    5 4 3 2 1

    4
    I am not afraid to voice unpopular opinions.
    5 4 3 2 1

    5
    I like to retire into my own thoughts uninterrupted for a thinking
    session.
    5 4 3 2 1

    6
    I would describe myself as more disordered than methodical.
    5 4 3 2 1

    7
    The greatest teacher of all is experience.
    5 4 3 2 1

    8
    I am more sensitive than the average person when it comes to
    environmental issues.
    5 4 3 2 1

    9
    I have more of an interest and=or curiosity in modern art than a
    ‘dismissing it as rubbish’ attitude.
    5 4 3 2 1

    10
    I often have the urge to take things apart to see how they work.
    5 4 3 2 1

    11
    I have a very overactive mind, to the extent that I sometimes find
    it difficult to get to sleep at night.
    5 4 3 2 1

    12
    I enjoy being unconventional.
    5 4 3 2 1

    13
    I am more of an intuitive person than an intellectual.
    5 4 3 2 1

    14
    When attending a talk or lecture, I often find myself drifting off
    and thinking of other things.
    5 4 3 2 1

    15
    I sometimes get very frustrated with myself if I cannot do
    something as well as I would like to.
    5 4 3 2 1

    16
    I prefer solitude and scenery to lively social gatherings.
    5 4 3 2 1

    17
    I often find myself irritated by petty rules and regulations.
    5 4 3 2 1

    18
    I have a very lively imagination.
    5 4 3 2 1

    19
    I am often very impatient to learn new things.
    5 4 3 2 1

    20
    I more than occasionally have dreams that I am unable to
    explain.
    5 4 3 2 1

    21
    I am very independent minded.
    5 4 3 2 1

    22
    Anytime I get a flash of inspiration or a new idea, my mind
    cannot rest until I have tried to put it into practice.
    5 4 3 2 1

    23
    I enjoy spending time on my own.
    5 4 3 2 1

    24
    I revel in being different to others.
    5 4 3 2 1

    25
    When hanging onto the phone, with a pencil in my hand and a
    piece of paper in front of me, the probability is that I will start to
    doodle.
    5 4 3 2 1
     
    #1094     May 29, 2010
  5. When NY made this statement, I can now tell you that he was not talking about risk management.

    The OBVIOUS that NY is on about, is NOT so OBVIOUS to many, and they still continue to place their money at risk in the markets, hoping and wishing they will win, but refusing to acknowledge that the chances of them losing are far greater, than the chances of winning.

    It is VERY OBVIOUS that most do not know what they are doing, for, if they did, they would not be doing it:eek:

    TE
     
    #1095     May 29, 2010
  6. Placebo

    Placebo

    So the OBVIOUS is that most should not participate in the market.:p
     
    #1096     May 29, 2010

  7. tortoise
     
    #1097     May 29, 2010
  8. DrEvil

    DrEvil

    I think it needs to pointed out that this discussion is mostly relevant to short term (intraday) trading.
     
    #1098     May 29, 2010
  9. How long did it take you?
     
    #1099     May 29, 2010
  10. True perhaps, but not the answer.
     
    #1100     May 29, 2010