Why is gold doing so shitty?

Discussion in 'Commodity Futures' started by SoyUnGanador, May 15, 2022.


  1. So millionaire, let me see if I can sum up basically what you are saying in just a few words:

    The inflation is already priced in.

    How'd I do? :)

    I wonder, how does a market price in like 20, 30, 50 or more years of inflation? Because I don't see the government from stopping its huge deficit spending any time soon, and I don't see the Fed stopping buy all those Treasury bonds being issued soon - they might slow it down a little, but interest rates will spike and they will have to resume IMO. We've got inflation and more inflation on the horizon IMO.

    Thanks!
     
    #11     May 15, 2022
  2. Debt crisis. Margin calls from the crash. everybuddy needz $$$, so sell it all, gold included. Crash = rapid $$ rise - kind of synonyms.
     
    #12     May 15, 2022
  3. tiddlywinks

    tiddlywinks

    Noone even mentions this in passing, so it must be nothing. Yup, an unrelated nothing.
    bye bye liquidity for retail. Let's plow the path for government issued and controlled digital currency. bye bye paper currency alternative.

    LME to scrap gold and silver futures by July due to thin activity

    PUBLISHED
    APR 22, 2022 11:48AM EDT

    The exchange, the world's oldest and largest market for industrial metals, said in a statement on Friday it expected to complete the withdrawal of gold and silver contracts by July.


    https://www.nasdaq.com/articles/lme-to-scrap-gold-and-silver-futures-by-july-due-to-thin-activity
     
    #13     May 15, 2022
  4. easymon1

    easymon1

    schwab soros.jpg
    zzzcv.jpg
     
    #14     May 15, 2022
    TimtheEnchanter likes this.
  5. Bugenhagen

    Bugenhagen

    They only launched them in 2017.
     
    #15     May 15, 2022
  6. easymon1

    easymon1

    How much of the world traffic in these securities as a percent does this represent?
     
    #16     May 15, 2022
  7. wmwmw

    wmwmw

    1.Gold price is not only related to inflation, but related to inflation and stocks price.
    For example, in 1941 and 1942,US inflation was 9.9% and 9%,(in 1940 0.7%);in 1946 and 1947 inflation was 18.1% and 8.8% (in 1945 2.2%).Gold price stayed at 33-34 from 1940-1947.While Dow rose big during this period.
    When Gold price soar, it was when both high inflation and stocks went down big or went sideway,as in 1970-1980 and 2000-2010.
    If you look at historical gold price, it now stays near historical high.
    https://www.macrotrends.net/1333/historical-gold-prices-100-year-chart

    2.If you look at US historical inflation data, inflation is expected to go down very soon.

    https://www.thebalance.com/u-s-inflation-rate-history-by-year-and-forecast-3306093

    Scroll down to bottom you will see inflation was expected to be 2.7% in 2023 and 2.3% in 2024.
     
    Last edited: May 15, 2022
    #17     May 15, 2022
    TimtheEnchanter likes this.
  8. SunTrader

    SunTrader

    The problem with Gold is everyone, not in the literal sense of course, is waiting for it to move.

    IOW no one is willing to jump in first.
     
    #18     May 15, 2022
  9. Soooooo when crypto dropped 50% why didn't the money flow back into gold?
     
    #19     May 15, 2022
  10. SunTrader

    SunTrader

    Good point. It didn't, for the obvious reason, it prolly hadn't flown into cryptos.

    Which I assume you already believe as well by your question, right?
     
    #20     May 15, 2022