Why I faded Fridays close.. again

Discussion in 'Trading' started by KCalhoun, Oct 22, 2022.

  1. SunTrader

    SunTrader

    Was going to post a pm I sent that predicted exact highs and lows of all index futs but though nah ... w(ho)tf would be stupid enough to believe that.
     
    #51     Oct 24, 2022
  2. You come across as a forum cop - watching what everyone else posts and then trying to find a fault by that or come with some clever disagreement. Quite often you miss the mark as well.

    It's not a good look.

    Pekelo actually did say he thought the same pattern would repeat itself in RTH, so I don't see the problem here.
     
    #52     Oct 24, 2022
  3. SunTrader

    SunTrader

    Funny then you post this. Nice self own.

    But its ok peke'r has me blocked. Saved me the trouble.
     
    #53     Oct 24, 2022
    Laissez Faire likes this.
  4. Pekelo

    Pekelo

    This is how you predict:
    It did. High was 3796, then it dropped to 3741, a 55 pts drop before the bounce.
     
    #54     Oct 24, 2022
  5. Good call so far. Remains to be seen about 3950, though.

    In my view, 3800 should be a major resistance level if anyone is interested in selling this rally, so I would think some caution is warranted for the long side here as evidenced by this choppy action around here which is depleting retail trader's account one stop at a time.
     
    #55     Oct 24, 2022
  6. First, I should say that I don't trade individual stocks. RSI indicators are my most valuable too, but not my only tool. The only charts I use regularly are trend channel charts. I almost exclusively trade index's and leveraged index's. I have 3 degree's of overbought. Overbought, moderately overbought, and just plain stupid overbought. Ditto for oversold. The Dow call I made was because treasuries are in stupid oversold conditions and the crowded dollar trade. Looking for that trade too correct. Ideally I look for moderately to stupid overbought or oversold conditions, playing the market ups and downs. It's a simplified trading method that works very well for me. I would say I'm more of a technical trader and seek those trades that have a high probability of success.
     
    #56     Oct 24, 2022
  7. %%
    I did something like that today on SDS, SPXU\ cut a loss on that +did better on XLK,TQQQ/UPRO, but those were short term trades.
    SDS did perk up last half hour but i seldom day trade that period; even though i dont have a rule against it....................................................................
     
    #57     Oct 24, 2022
  8. Pekelo

    Pekelo

    Looks like we went above that. This rally will last 2-3 more days...
     
    #58     Oct 24, 2022
  9. Darc

    Darc

    Agreed.

    Ken who?
     
    #59     Oct 24, 2022
  10. Looks like a successful BO of the 3800 range, yes.
     
    #60     Oct 24, 2022