Why has the turtle trend-following system stop working?

Discussion in 'Professional Trading' started by helpme_please, Aug 8, 2015.

  1. Macca1

    Macca1

    #31     Aug 10, 2015
  2. The fact that it's called the turtle system say's it all
     
    #32     Aug 10, 2015
  3. Trend Following

    Trend Following Sponsor

    One of the most successful traders of 20th century taught a group to trade and many of them have gone on to have decades long successful careers. He nicknamed his students the turtles. If you think the name is whatever, who is to disagree. But what that name stands for is generally known to be the approach taught and the success derived from it. You see that as positive I assume.
     
    #33     Aug 10, 2015
    Macca1 likes this.
  4. Trend Following

    Trend Following Sponsor

    #34     Aug 10, 2015
    Macca1 likes this.
  5. kut2k2

    kut2k2

    The name has nothing to do with the system, it refers to the students. The bet between Dennis and Eckhardt was whether ordinary people could become successful traders. Dennis was pro, Eckhardt was con. Dennis said that his "ordinary" students (actually carefully screened applicants) were going to be trained like turtles were raised en mass in certain Asian farms. So the selected students became the Turtles.
     
    #35     Aug 10, 2015
  6. Still a crap name though, and so is the trading system
     
    #36     Aug 11, 2015
  7. Trend Following

    Trend Following Sponsor

    What and how did you test?
     
    #37     Aug 11, 2015
  8. Visaria

    Visaria

    The drawdowns are horrendous for long term trend following systems. Don't go near them!
     
    #38     Aug 11, 2015
  9. Trend Following

    Trend Following Sponsor

    Chris Clarke has good insight on this podcast ep. for those that scream "drawdown" when discussing trend following:

    http://trendfollowingradio.com/ep-2...w-with-michael-covel-on-trend-following-radio

    Also, drawdown goes far beyond trend following. Consider an excerpt from PragCap:

    Big returns over time come with big drawdowns.

    Buffett has also said himself:

    No wisdom there.
     
    #39     Aug 11, 2015
  10. Visaria

    Visaria

    No they don't. Pls stop bullshitting us traders (i know you don't trade).
     
    #40     Aug 11, 2015