Why Gold has to go down...

Discussion in 'Commodity Futures' started by PohPoh, Feb 11, 2009.

  1. dhpar

    dhpar

    yeah. a "little bit" of simplification was exactly what this thread needed.

    you can't be serious with this. these two metals are not substitutes - it is a completely different market!
     
    #51     Feb 14, 2009
  2. dhpar

    dhpar

    another lost soul in line...

    so why is water cheap? maybe you are missing something.

    lol. it almost looks like i am defending gold bugs here....not really my intent.
     
    #52     Feb 14, 2009
  3. harkm

    harkm


    I find your post interesting. Lets say you have 1 million dollars in assets and you want to preserve that wealth. You feel the USD will fall substantially. Do you buy 1 million dollars worth of guns or soup?
     
    #53     Feb 14, 2009
  4. If you believe the dollar will fall you short $1m USD worth of DX Dollar Index futures. Why on earth would I take the scenic route of buying gold in order to bet against the USD if I can simply short the Dollar outright (lets leave out counterparty risk and the probabilities of exchanges going bust for a second)?
     
    #54     Feb 14, 2009
  5. Very true, very true.

    However, the world is not going back to the caveman ages so we should confine our analysis to what is actually possible.
     
    #55     Feb 14, 2009
  6. Aah, the old you can't eat it argument.

    I just had dinner. French Fries and delicious GM shares.

    I see your point.
     
    #56     Feb 14, 2009
  7. harkm

    harkm

    Since the Dollar index is over 50% the Euro then you might want to avoid that risk too?
     
    #57     Feb 14, 2009
  8. Just do whatever you believe will protect your wealth. But if you believe the USD will fall into oblivion then yes, spend your million on soup, guns because gold doesn't cook too well. Don't forget toilet paper. Make sure you get lots of toilet paper. Leaves and pine cones just won't cut it.

    My post was to make fun of people who are using gold to hedge -- just in case -- against collapse of the USA, world, etc. Use it to make money or hedge....Just like any other investment.
     
    #58     Feb 14, 2009
  9. I would say if you have substantial savings one would be wise to have some cash and gold stashed away in another country.

    Crackpot tinfoil hat thinking?

    Maybe but as the Romans used to say in times of peace smart men prepare for war.

    Other then that, I agree.

    Gold went up more then 2000% in the seventies and guess what: "The world didnt end!!!":eek:

    I bet a very substantial part of the worlds population didnt even know or cared about the price of gold back then period.

    Who knows we might have a nice run up like that again we'll see.
     
    #59     Feb 14, 2009
  10. Yeah, go out there buy some real estate, enjoy the much increased owner costs with decreasing leases. Or buy some stocks, because their earnings & balance sheets are so honest.

    People are turning a FIAT form of exchange into a REAL ASSET form. But judging your belief into the good will of the Fed, I guess I can understand your reasoning.

    Stop peddling your illiquid wanna-be precious metal.
     
    #60     Feb 14, 2009