Why does TA not work (for you)?

Discussion in 'Technical Analysis' started by Xspurt, Aug 4, 2012.

  1. Why did you leave volume off your charts???
     
    #1021     Aug 13, 2012
  2. wheres my factals example?
     
    #1022     Aug 13, 2012
  3. BSAM

    BSAM

    So, simple even a caveman can do it.
     
    #1023     Aug 13, 2012
  4. i'm telling ya... “To bankrupt a fool, give him information.”
     
    #1024     Aug 13, 2012
  5. attached is a pic of "The Pattern".

    You see a trend which is one half of a cycle.

    The labelling shows most of the pieces that a coder defines and uses in records and makes an ATS usuing a RDBMS.

    For price you see a parallelogram which is the least complex geometric form. the points have loci which are definable by two dimensions. Not many people know how to chose the dimensions properly.wheres my factals example?
     
    #1025     Aug 13, 2012
  6. ammo

    ammo

    surf, what in your mind does TA stand for/include
     
    #1026     Aug 13, 2012
  7. I have been provided with a week's worth of clean ES charts.

    Ill use one to point out the pattern as a beginning effort.

    I entered and exited on this chart and I did 7 reversals using the pattern in between the opening entry and the bar 78 exit.
     
    #1027     Aug 13, 2012
  8. As you can see the original posting is the same as this chart. Both are no good since the AM part of the chart is messed up.

    I wanted to do a week and then we could tab the trades. Mostly everyone has said hind sight is 100%. I will be using my records done at the time.

    Sorry about the Monday chart.

    What happened Monday was:

    enter on bar 1 long.

    reverse short on bar 8

    reverse long on bar 21

    reverse short on bar 24

    reverse long on bar 31

    reverse short on bar 41

    reverse long on bar 53

    reverse short on bar 67

    exit on bar 78

    For any trader of any skill levels, the trader gets a signal from nalysis during a bar. It comes from records being processed by using an RDBMS.

    Use the crayola test to draw links between the nodes you have listed above.

    Now I will use Tuesday to do the science of the Pattern.

    By doing the zig zag on the chart (you have to use the time to get the bars correct afer the mess of the first bars..
     
    #1028     Aug 13, 2012
  9. Hi Ammo,

    TA is the charting/studying of past prices in an attempt to increase the odds that your trade entry will be profitable. Often has to do with certain patterns with dubious predictive qualities.
     
    #1029     Aug 13, 2012
  10. quick note.

    the friday chart is messed up as well.

    this means doing a three day sample is a poor collection.

    We can get a statisitical P< 0.05 for the number of reversals.

    I do carry over in trading.

    this means I know I know what the opening bar sentiment is.

    So I enter promptly to take advantage of the volatility of bar 1.

    Lets use the Pattern to trade this day.

    Bar 78 formed a lateral and this means Peak 1 in volume and PT1 in price are on bar 1.

    The "shadow" of bar one goes for 6 bars including bar 78 the first bar of the TA determined long Pattern. An SQL record keeps track of this.

    We are going to hold this long until, as shown on the Pattern picture, we reach the PEAK # and an FTT of price.

    In the construct being used we need to see a T1 next in the order of events.

    A viewer may be able to see bar 3 breaks out of the shadow. this means the volume may be compaared to the P1 volume.

    Obviously, in SQL which is a RDBMS language all of this is handled precisely and certainly.

    we need to find the Peak 3 and it is after peak 2 and then trough 2. there is an order of events and it is kept track of as the bars go by.

    By this time in my explanation, the whole nine yards of SCT has been revealed to those who are able to do logic. the Pattern works on PVT and SSR as well. The Pattern comes from PEP.

    Summilarily, You find P2 is recorded as being on bars 4 and 7.

    To do the last move (3rd move of a trend) we get more precise and use more detail once T2 has shown up. Then we need to find P3. Bars 8 though 14 allow this to happen.

    a reversal happens on bar 14. we go short there.
     
    #1030     Aug 13, 2012