why does price tend to fall faster than it rises?

Discussion in 'Trading' started by 1a2b3cppp, Sep 1, 2011.

  1. schizo

    schizo

    It just feels that way now that we're in a bear territory. But in the bull territory, circa 2009-2011, you could be asking: Why the fuck are bears so pussies?

    Seriously, your question makes sense only because you're looking at the back mirror. What you need to do instead is look through the windshield.
     
    #11     Sep 2, 2011
  2. TraDaToR

    TraDaToR

    Some big particpants in the markets( mutual funds for example) and Joe Public are long only. They aren't good traders. They just progressively get in when stocks are already in a uptrend and all get out at the same time when market crashes, creating tremendous pressure on the downside.
     
    #12     Sep 2, 2011
  3. Handle is one of the guys one should listen to here... :) .
     
    #13     Sep 2, 2011
  4. there sure is some fortune cookie wisdom in this thread [​IMG]
     
    #14     Sep 2, 2011
  5. Confucius say stocks go up like escalator but come down like elevator.
     
    #15     Sep 2, 2011
  6. +1

    My mentor called this "Market Gravity"!
     
    #16     Sep 2, 2011
  7. There are many ways to take a bearish position.
     
    #17     Sep 2, 2011
  8. The real explanation is more fundamental. It has nothing to do with psychology.

    There is a fundamental asymmetry between long and short positions. Because of limited liability and all that corporate personhood junk, there is a terminal point on the short side of a stock: zero. Once a stock hits that, there's no coming back. An upward movement is always subject to a possible correction or reversal. A down movement isn't.

    Thus, when the bull is out scouting for oversolds he has to consider the possibility (especially in the case of financials that make heavy use of short term debt) that the overly bearish sentiment will turn out to be a self-fulfilling prophesy. It doesn't matter if the bull has perfect information; he still has to worry about the droves of underinformed bears.

    Another asymmetry is the fact that bears have always had fewer options than bulls. In particular, it's usually impossible to short a specific instrument over the long term. So while the bears inherently have more power than the bulls due to business law, because of market laws they can exercise it only via derivatives: short term, highly leveraged bursts vs. the tens of millions of 1:1 leverage, buy-and-hold (and-occasionally-panic) bulls.
     
    #18     Sep 2, 2011

  9. SPOT ON
     
    #19     Sep 3, 2011
  10. jem

    jem

    Bear market rallys can be pretty quick too.
     
    #20     Sep 3, 2011