Why do I see "Trends" in Randomly Generated Data?

Discussion in 'Data Sets and Feeds' started by Rahula, Feb 21, 2008.

  1. pneuma

    pneuma

    Hey that sounds familiar - multiple un-correlated systems - I think is the term I have used in other threads.
    see http://www.elitetrader.com/vb/showthread.php?s=&postid=1735531#post1735531

    So MAESTRO has 200 intraday auto trading bots/ mechanical systems/ games (call them what you will) on the go, I assume over many global markets. All based on math and logic, however different math and logic to those that use daily or weekly time frames and find "trends" like ProfLogic and myself.

    I fail to understand why ET agrue the semantics of skinning a cat, when there are so many ways to achieve the same ends - profit. I say, use them all.

    pneuma
     
    #261     Feb 27, 2008
  2. how about posting your trading station, for the uninitated among us, Maestro?

    thanks,

    surf
     
    #262     Feb 27, 2008
  3. Allow me Maestro. I've always been impressed with your wall.
     
    #263     Feb 27, 2008
  4. the arrogance of the acolytes of math is well known
    they do enjoy their painting ~ trading by numbers but discussion with them is pointillist

    nice illustration of Gann lines by the way — fig 3 of the 'article'
     
    #264     Feb 28, 2008
  5. cold

    cold

    Hey you said what I said, but your way is nicer :D
     
    #265     Feb 28, 2008
  6. MGJ

    MGJ

    You see "Trends" in Randomly Generated Data. Don't feel bad, so does Burton Malkiel (ARWDWS chapter 6). Mark Brown sees "Trends" in rolls of the dice (link1) and in spins of the roulette wheel (link2)

    Me, I look at price charts of commodities and sometimes I see "Trends" too! We're all delusional, but in slightly different ways.

    [​IMG]
     
    #266     Feb 28, 2008
  7. MAESTRO

    MAESTRO

    Hey, that's an old picture! :D :D Our walls are 10 times bigger now! :cool: :D
     
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    #267     Feb 28, 2008
  8. You can almost sense the evil lurking behind those monitors. MAESTRO, this is just plain wrong!
     
    #268     Feb 28, 2008
  9. MAESTRO

    MAESTRO

    No, not evil! Just having fun! Scientists are people who satisfy their own curiosity using someone else’s money! :D
     
    #269     Feb 28, 2008
  10. Numbers don't know if they are random or not. Only two outcomes. Up or down.

    John
     
    #270     Feb 28, 2008