Why Can't I Trade with the Trend

Discussion in 'Strategy Building' started by Flashboy, Mar 10, 2005.

  1. This statement is 100% incorrect if you have strictly defined the parameters of reading the trend of that particular chart.
     
    #241     Mar 13, 2005
  2. A curve is the slope of a slope. That's more slope.
     
    #242     Mar 13, 2005
  3. Please excuse the distractions. I'm watching KY & FL do battle on the hardwood. lol
    When I think of Slope I think of a degree of assent or decline and that has nothing to do with determining when a trend will end.
     
    #243     Mar 13, 2005
  4. True, but you can define it even closer.
     
    #244     Mar 13, 2005
  5. "it". Which are you referring to?
     
    #245     Mar 13, 2005
  6. I have to disagree again. The slope aka: dD/dT... has everything to do with recognizing beginnings, durations, and ends. I don't believe there is more refined measurement to determining this!
     
    #246     Mar 13, 2005
  7. jsp326

    jsp326

    That's quite an assertion. Can you prove this

    a) Empirically, i.e., show you've tested every combination of charts/chart reading techniques/indicators (or a sufficiently large sample) and found that none can tell you the trend failure point?

    b) Deductively, i.e., lead us through a series of verifiably true statements that reaches this conclusion?

    If not, you simply have an assertion/opinion, which you're entitled to, of course.
     
    #247     Mar 13, 2005
  8. Trend.
    "As a tool, projection (LR&bands aka: trend channel) can be used to scope out the possibilities, where by an anticipation of events can then be considered."

    I agree but defining specific actions that need to take place before a change in trend can take place, both at a Minor and at extreme oscillations, will improve the expectation of the current trend completing.
     
    #248     Mar 13, 2005
  9. See your losing me here. In sense, from my perspective your contridicting yourself, and it's got me riddled. I'll refer to what I said earlier...


    Edit: Also let me add that I personally don't use "price" as a variable, to trade with. But the vars that drive "price"
     
    #249     Mar 13, 2005
  10. If a minimum difference between present and approaching price could be calculated using public methods based on preceding price action, then, according to efficiency theory, that difference between current and predictable future price would close instantly, leaving no exploitable opportunity.
     
    #250     Mar 13, 2005