Why Can't I Trade with the Trend

Discussion in 'Strategy Building' started by Flashboy, Mar 10, 2005.




  1. ah, maybe cause there's no such thing as trend.


    trend only exists in hindsight.


    one day you will learn.


    han
     
    #151     Mar 12, 2005
  2. In that case, give me an example of a publicly traded instrument whose price rises and falls but always returns to a constant middle value. And what is that value?
     
    #152     Mar 12, 2005


  3. dr.logic and i have gone round and round on this issue.

    although obviously quite intelligent, he is suffering from a common delusion affecting the majority of market participants.


    regards,

    hank:cool:
     
    #153     Mar 12, 2005
  4. BSAM

    BSAM


    Surf, Surf, Surf....."Trend only exists in hindsight"??? Give me a BAAAHRAKE!
     
    #154     Mar 12, 2005
  5. Jane Doe

    Jane Doe

    why can't johnny trade? :eek:
     
    #155     Mar 12, 2005
  6. Someone better call the logic repairman.

    Delusions can be costly in this racket, no question about it.
     
    #156     Mar 12, 2005

  7. yeah, man. i stand by my statement.

    think about it.... you never know when the "trend" is going to end, and what part of the "trend" you entered the trade in. if you have a winning trade...you can say---i caught the trend, i am with the trend. a losing trade, obviously you are not with the trend. you only KNOW for sure about the trend after you enter the trade and the trend is directly related to your success in the trade or lack there of.


    if you flip a coin 10 times and comes up heads 10 times, are you in a "heads" trend ? see what i mean ?


    nice to see you here !


    :)
     
    #157     Mar 12, 2005
  8. BSAM

    BSAM


    You seem to be in search of something that works 100% of the time. Of course, NOTHING does. And, to keep a long story, short; this is all part of one's MM methods. Trends DEFINITELY occur. Some are so obvious, even Stevie Wonder could see them!!
     
    #158     Mar 12, 2005
  9. sure they occur.


    BUT they exist only in the past.



    anyone can see a trending MA--but once again, its the PAST.


    hank :)
     
    #159     Mar 12, 2005
  10. But isn't the past just yesterday's future? :confused:
     
    #160     Mar 12, 2005