Why are DJT puts more expensive than calls?

Discussion in 'Options' started by Actuarial_Fun, Oct 29, 2024.

  1. poopy

    poopy


    I stated that Musk would buy DJT?
     
    #11     Oct 30, 2024
  2. SunTrader

    SunTrader

    Whoops my bad it was newurldmn himself that mentioned that previously.
     
    #12     Oct 30, 2024
  3. newwurldmn

    newwurldmn

    i did have that thought for a minute as that would be the only bull case for owning the stock. Even if Trump wins the presidency, Truth Social isn't going to make more money.

    I then realized that Musk can buy DJT instead of buying DJT (if you know what i mean).
     
    #13     Oct 30, 2024
    nbbo and SunTrader like this.
  4. I am not sure how accurate it is but there you have this poll based on a betting exchange.
    It is based on the odds of the exchange itself.

    Puts on an option chain are normally more expensive than calls, as per:
    https://optionalpha.com/learn/call-options-vs-put-options

    There is obviously a lot of hype for the guy.

    upload_2024-10-30_15-34-11.png
     
    #14     Oct 30, 2024
  5. For KISS... The side of the market which is more expensive is the side the MM expects to see demand for whatever reason... and is pricing it in. So... if you perceive that puts are more expensive than calls, it's because the MM is expecting "down" action.
     
    #15     Oct 30, 2024
  6. poopy

    poopy

    You can arb the ps against the cs. The most reliable/least arbitrary method is to quote the synthetic as kev suggested. It's still likely to show an arb so go buy the box, enjoy!
     
    #16     Oct 30, 2024
    Actuarial_Fun likes this.
  7. S2007S

    S2007S

    Why anyone would risk any money in this stock .....stock is completely worthless even if he wins.
     
    #17     Oct 30, 2024
    Lou Friedman likes this.
  8. poopy

    poopy


    You Sir, are too stupid for this discussion. Literally everything that you've stated is wrong.
     
    #18     Oct 30, 2024
  9. That's different from trading.

    It's being bid because players perceive something positive should Trump win. Doesn't mean they are correct in a big sense, but have been "trade" correct recently.
     
    #19     Oct 30, 2024
  10. poopy

    poopy


    Dude, you could arbitrage it flat if that were the case. Keep leaning into r*tard. It's a good look.
     
    #20     Oct 30, 2024