Yep. Any strategy that emphasizes monthly profitability follows this pattern: small profit small profit small profit small profit BIG LOSS!! small profit ... For an extreme example, see Long Term Capital Management.
Good point. Newbies with the "billionaire attitude" are a pain in the ass and they come here in droves. I've never gotten any secrets from anybody either, but I've created some of my own while here
Thanks for the link. The thread looks dead. Without reading it, my conclusion is all those involved have lost their shirts, and they have moved off to paying jobs of one kind or another.
Hold your horses - have a look again - thread is still alive, op was seen on Friday How they were all set up for the kill: (excepts) There is a lot of negativity, disbelief, and cynicism about trading expressed on this site. Iâm only going to report weekly results. Iâve always treated daily p/lâs as noise and donât pay attention to any time frame shorter than a week when it comes to tracking profits. My journal will be light on specifics of what or how I trade. A lot of what I do is liquidity sensitive and I do not want to invite people to try to reverse engineer my systems and then compete with me for fills. I am happy to engage in discussions about things like position sizing, risk management, handling emotions, etc, but donât be offended if I donât answer your question about âwhat time and price did you enter this stock and why did you exitâ?
I think that most people who are profitable on a monthly basis started out that way. If you start out negative it's more likely you will stay negative or get more negative than it is you will get to monthly profitable.
I disagree, but also I didn't say a strategy that emphasizes monthly profitability. I asked if anyone has been consistently profitable on a monthly basis, and what change made them crossover. This doesn't mean that they purposely emphasize monthly profitability it just means that their strategy has a reliability to it. Also the strategy you described wouldn't be profitable on the weekly basis, much less the monthly. As the person would have serious problem with their risk/reward ratio.
You can disagree all you want, but where's the evidence? I've seen one money manager who had very few losing months, but he typically made between 0.5% to 1.5% per month. Also, I only saw his track record when the markets were relatively stable. I'm not sure how he'd do during a financial crisis.