Who else thinks a Correction or CRASH may be coming? My top call #2 1/9/2021

Discussion in 'Trading' started by KCalhoun, Jan 9, 2021.

  1. pstrusi

    pstrusi


    While the Fed's balance sheet continues expanding ( You can watch it as the FARBAST index in a bloomberg terminal ) , any correction will last little, however, 3%-7% suddenly corrections might occur. Since 2009, Market cycles have been broken cause the FED, this is the new normal.....so far
     
    #81     Jan 16, 2021
    KCalhoun likes this.
  2. Overnight

    Overnight

    3-7% are not corrections. They are just pullbacks, no?
     
    #82     Jan 16, 2021
  3. KCalhoun

    KCalhoun

    #83     Jan 16, 2021
  4. Overnight

    Overnight

    We no longer go clubbing because we've been clubbed to death in believing that we can't go out clubbing, or we will all die a painful, melting death. Masks and hand washing are no longer good enough. Only the vaccines will save our souls now.

     
    #84     Jan 16, 2021
    KCalhoun likes this.
  5. pstrusi

    pstrusi

    Yes, you're right. I wrote it fast not thinking carefully about the right financial vocabulary. Besides that, do you have an opinion about what KCalhoun affirms?
     
    #85     Jan 17, 2021
  6. treeman

    treeman

    Ignore top calls. Unless the caller explicitly explains why (a feeling isnt valid. Time isn’t valid. P/e isn’t valid) for you to analyze, the odds are terribly against them.

    if the thread is just confirmation bias of your own feeling that you were seeking out, buy on the first up day.

    Options expiration day with a lot of calls in the money is hard on market makers. Just saying. All the big moving stocks that went down Friday were stocks that were up massively the last few months. Most of the stocks that went up Friday were stocks that have been beaten down. That screams of market makers getting their money back at expiration. I’d even expect next week to show more of the same. The market is manipulated and Market makers need to make money. This is why non options traders watch options expiration day.

    thats just how a market works though. And isn’t throwing darts at a high day and saying - top! Every bull run has people saying the same exact stuff about the top and overvalued and the news today. It’s all not that unique, really. The market functions the way it always has. And the overvalued top calls existed in 1995 too. The market gives hints when it’s actually coming, and consumer discretionary outpacing consumer staples isn’t one of them. Stock markets don’t crash a week out from Ferrari making an all time high and Kimberly Clark’s best day being in July 20% higher. Money flow is important
     
    Last edited: Jan 17, 2021
    #86     Jan 17, 2021
  7. KCalhoun

    KCalhoun

    We're still in a technical uptrend for now; I'm using 3550 as key support (100SMA on 90d chart)

    I'm bullish cannabis stocks like CGC as I've been since nov post-election

    spx17jan.jpg cgc17jan.jpg




    using 26 & 28 r1/r2 for VIX

    vix17jan.jpg
     
    #87     Jan 17, 2021
  8. Uh... last March?
     
    #88     Jan 18, 2021
    Cuddles likes this.
  9. Cuddles

    Cuddles

    [​IMG]
     
    #89     Jan 18, 2021
  10. KCalhoun

    KCalhoun

    Printing press causes inflation and market drop.

    Keeping close watch on VIX trend plus spikes.

    Expect bull trap Monday through Wednesday then selling.
     
    #90     Jan 18, 2021