Who else thinks a Correction or CRASH may be coming? My top call #2 1/9/2021

Discussion in 'Trading' started by KCalhoun, Jan 9, 2021.

  1. Nine_Ender

    Nine_Ender

    Not if your focus is commodities. Instant 6% moves in Silver and Nat Gas can translate into oversized moves in the stocks if it holds. My take for months has been there wasn't much to be had in broader indexes couldn't justify the risk/reward without a clear catalyst. I prefer sector or commodity based plays with positive momentum.
     
    #131     Jan 31, 2021
  2. SunTrader

    SunTrader

    Go so far. Let's see what the 60 minutes brings.
     
    #132     Jan 31, 2021
  3. Nine_Ender

    Nine_Ender

    Silver up 10% ( related stocks up anywhere from 18-30% premarket ), Nat Gas still up 7%, Gold and Oil up moderately which is a nice reversal from Friday afternoon ( Gold stocks up 9% premarket ). Indexes up a pedestrian 1%. This is my point, most of the good opportunities right now are long certain sectors; commodities must be monitored daily.
     
    #133     Feb 1, 2021
  4. SunTrader

    SunTrader

    Oil related - just read this Bloomberg blurb:-

    "The chief executive officers of Exxon Mobil Corp. and Chevron Corp. spoke about combining the two largest U.S. oil companies last year, Dow Jones reported. The talks were preliminary, and are not ongoing, according to the report. The news kicks off what is going to be a very busy week for the oil market, with almost every oil major reporting results. OPEC and its allies will review their December agreement on Tuesday, after a preliminary report estimated 99% compliance with output levels. Oil was trading slightly higher at $52.37 a barrel by 5:50 a.m. Eastern Time."
     
    #134     Feb 1, 2021
  5. KCalhoun

    KCalhoun

    lightened up on inverses a bit since minor gaps down, bought sm size silver slv ag asm etc; thx re oil
     
    #135     Feb 1, 2021
  6. Nine_Ender

    Nine_Ender

    The best plays on silver lately have been the more active stocks after they sell off somewhat during the day. My favorites are MAG, EDR, FVI ( all have US equivalents ). FR ( AG in US ) has been the trader favorite but on a fundamental basis I never liked it. It's popped the most premarket moves but I would say the most risk as well when the rally ends. Short term certainly it stands out though. SVM has lagged the group throughout might be a relative value play into earnings Thursday.

    That being said, Silver is super strong right now. Normal miner trading before last week would be gradual sustained stock price increases all day on such a move.

    On one hand, it's a little late in the short term game to jump on these things unless you get an intraday dip. On the other hand, the two other times Silver hit $30 it skyrocketed to $50 in short order. I think any buys with size need to acknowledge the daily range some of the traders seem to bail in the last 10 minutes of normal trading hours.
     
    #136     Feb 1, 2021
    KCalhoun likes this.
  7. Nine_Ender

    Nine_Ender

    You may have noted the recent pattern in silver miners held up again today. Had a highly profitable day today hopefully the adjustments I made late day end up being good.
     
    #137     Feb 1, 2021
    murray t turtle and KCalhoun like this.
  8. KCalhoun

    KCalhoun

    Good call re silver, it's a popular sector.

    Lost a few hundred taking stops in inverses; I anticipated a minor bounce today, did more than a mean reversion though. As with last week I'd expect end of week selling, depending on earnings reports.

    Agree silver plays are good to focus on this week, also cannabis eg SNDL up earlier. Will reenter inverses at 2dhighs.
     
    #138     Feb 1, 2021
  9. IT did last FEB;
    good thing i cut a loss on TECs @ $8.56 area\ its down > 7%.
    Took profits on SPYG today / mid FEB was last years trigger.
    DOW stlil looks weak/QQQ looks strong.
    [GME resumed its bear trend but i never consider a penny stock a benchmark]LOL:D:D:D:D:D:D:D
     
    #139     Feb 1, 2021
    KCalhoun likes this.
  10. KCalhoun

    KCalhoun

    inverses back up, SQQQ nice gap so far

    sqqq22feb.jpg

    SPY down
    spy22feb.jpg
     
    #140     Feb 22, 2021