White Americans' majority to end by mid-century

Discussion in 'Politics' started by JDL, Dec 17, 2009.

  1. JDL


    WASHINGTON – The estimated time when whites will no longer make up the majority of Americans has been pushed back eight years — to 2050 — because the recession and stricter immigration policies have slowed the flow of foreigners into the U.S.

    Census Bureau figures released Wednesday update last year's prediction that white children would become a minority in 2023 and the overall white population would follow in 2042. The earlier estimate did not take into account a drop in the number of people moving into the U.S. because of the economic crisis and the immigration policies imposed after the Sept. 11, 2001, terror attacks.

    The 2050 estimate is one of four projections released that is based on rates for births and deaths and a scenario in which immigration continues its more recent, slower pace of adding nearly 1 million new foreigners each year. Demographers said that scenario offers the best look for now at the future demographic makeup based on current conditions, rather than other models which assume higher rates of immigration.

    The United States has 308 million people today; two-thirds are non-Hispanic whites.

    The total population should climb to 399 million by 2050, under the new projection, with whites making up 49.9 percent of the population. Blacks will make up 12.2 percent, virtually unchanged from today. Hispanics, currently 15 percent of the population, will rise to 28 percent in 2050.

    Asians are expected to increase from 4.4 percent of the population to 6 percent.

    The point when minority children become the majority is expected to have a similar delay of roughly eight years, moving from 2023 to 2031.

    The population 85 and older is projected to more than triple by 2050, to 18.6 million.

    The actual shift in demographics will be influenced by a host of factors that can't be accurately forecast — the pace of the economic recovery, cultural changes, natural or manmade disasters, as well as an overhaul of immigration law, which may be debated in Congress as early as next year.

    As a result, the Census Bureau said the projections should be used mostly as a guide.

    The agency also released numbers showing projections based on "high" rates of immigration — more likely if more-flexible government policies and a booming U.S. economy attract large numbers of foreigners — as well as "low" immigration, a possible scenario if U.S. policies don't change much while the economy substantially improves.

    _With high immigration, the minority "tipping point" is moved up to 2040, two years earlier than the previous estimate. At that time, Asians would have a much larger share, at 8 percent, since their population growth is more dependent on immigration than birth rates.

    _With low immigration, the "tipping point" arrives by 2045.

    Under a purely theoretical "zero immigration" scenario in which the U.S. effectively does not take in any immigrants, whites would remain the majority in 2050, making up a solid 58 percent of the U.S. population. In such a case, the share of Hispanics would increase to 21 percent because of high fertility rates and a younger population.

    Under a "zero immigration" model, the 65 and older population also grows substantially faster, comprising nearly 1 in 4 Americans.

    "These projections show that immigration will serve to replenish our labor force as baby boomers age into retirement and make our population younger without overburdening our schools and other community resources," said William H. Frey, a demographer at Brookings Institution.

  2. JDL


    what happen to white america :eek: i guess time is up, time to move to canada :(
  3. Lucrum


    Liberals fucked it all up.
    I guess you're not too bright. According to your article we got another 40 years.

    Aren't most US whites of European decent? IOW why would US whites move to Canada, instead of Europe?

    On that note (your idea not mine) you could pack up your ho's and move back to Africa. Since there are currently more whites than blacks, wouldn't that make more sense than your suggestion of the whites leaving?
  4. JDL


    it's over bro. get use to it, your people did it :p, thats some funny shit, blacks came over on boats and whites leaving on boats, :p
  5. While I would defend your right to hold what ever opinion you desire, I find it ironic that a poster named "dirty edomite" was banned for expressing what appears to be the opposite side of your same coin...........
  6. JDL


    come on pinky, calm down, it will all be over very soon :D
  7. Ricter


    What if they have a really deep tan and don't check a race box on a form somewhere, could they consider themselves part of the majority then?
  8. Good I'm looking forward to exploiting my new minority privileges.
  9. Lucrum


    That's because in liberal bizzaro world black on white racism is acceptable, "politically correct" and even encouraged.

    White on black racism is however condemned and strictly prohibited.

    Don't you just love the liberal double standard?

    I'm holding out for the reparations.
  10. Ricter


    In moron-land people who are, look carefully, brown are called black, and people who are, look carefully, pink are called white.
    #10     Dec 17, 2009