Which way? A Gold Timing exercise

Discussion in 'Commodity Futures' started by themickey, Nov 4, 2021.

  1. deaddog

    deaddog

    Which stocks are you following? The big boys or the juniors?
     
    #111     Dec 31, 2021
  2. themickey

    themickey

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    Lacking in interest other than media talking heads forever crowing on about it.
     
    #112     Dec 31, 2021
  3. themickey

    themickey

    At this point in time I have zero optimism.
    Zero, nil, nix, 0, POS gold.
    The stock market in general today the most bearish I've seen for quite some time.
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    Last edited: Jan 5, 2022
    #113     Jan 5, 2022
  4. themickey

    themickey

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    #114     Jan 5, 2022
  5. themickey

    themickey

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    Down day occured today as guessed, nearly 100% of gold and silver stocks were in red.
    Tomorrow expecting an insipid bounce, likely a narrow range day.
    Expecting Nasdaq up day tomorrow.
     
    #115     Jan 6, 2022
  6. themickey

    themickey

    Looking at gold price action, a rocky road it travels on, very difficult to know its mind but foolishly will make the call there is still short term weakness dead ahead.

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    #116     Jan 8, 2022
  7. themickey

    themickey

    Trend lines I rarely use, it's not my method of trading but I do use support and resistance levels in a rough manner, using the term 'rough' because generally speaking S/R will be penetrated briefly or fall short of as it's the markets way of fooling the crowd, taking out stops.

    With gold due to the high level of emotion/cultism and because it's basically a speculative commoditity, once momentum gets going then we see parabolic moves, not straight trend lines.
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    #117     Jan 8, 2022
  8. themickey

    themickey

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    Log chart which is the correct method to present a long tem chart.
     
    #118     Jan 8, 2022
  9. Nine_Ender

    Nine_Ender

    Technicals on commodities rarely matter imo but I see a ton of traders and analysts who think they matter. The trade really is the miners because we are still in a situation where miners are far cheaper them they should be for where Gold is at. 1800 is close to old ATHs and some of the stocks are 20-40% of where they were at the old ATHs.

    Now there are reasons for this problem I'm sure. Sentiment is one. Bitcoin talk is another. A last factor that I'm realizing now is perhaps mines are impacted more then other businesses due to Covid. The reason I say this is earnings in 2021 while not horrible underperformed the kind of growth that late 2020 suggested, Beyond just Gold not being $2000+. $1800 is still a rather healthy level but the earnings numbers are kind of mundane.

    So I think the only good plays are jump in if Gold makes a big move, or play the range when miners get crushed on news but are still profitable.
     
    #119     Jan 8, 2022
    themickey likes this.
  10. themickey

    themickey

    The way I'm playing gold is only via gold mining stocks and two types; I have a small handful of very profitable gold producers and a couple of handfuls of penny stocks which have made large discoveries but not producing plus 1 silver ETF. Every one is currently underwater.
    I was hoping silver would finally uncorrelate to gold due to heavier demand as we go into a battery material/Solarpanel era, but I was dreaming in lala land.
     
    Last edited: Jan 8, 2022
    #120     Jan 8, 2022