Which trade is better

Discussion in 'Options' started by Engine99, Dec 20, 2007.

  1. Can someone please explain to me how volatility may help or be counter productive to strangles and butterfly trades?

    Trade 1:
    Stock X trading around 50
    Butterfly trade Max Gain @ 50 = 200$
    Max Loss = 100$
    Implied Vol / Historical Vol = 1/1

    Trade 2:
    Stock X trading around 50
    Butterfly trade Max Gain @ 50 = 300$
    Max Loss = 100$
    Implied Vol / Historical Vol = 4/1

    Thanks for some help understanding this.
     
  2. ?..........The maximum gain occurs at $50?.......I'm assuming you're "long the wings". If so, increased volatility is bad because that means the market is more likely to move away from $50. Trade-1 has the more "stable" volatility ratio. You're more likely to get the $200 maximum gain. Trade-2 has the "unstable" ratio. You're less likely to get the $300 maximum gain. You might be better off "shorting the wings" and settling for a $100 gain with greater movement of the underlying instead.