Which setups are more attractive?

Try taking your finger off both of them.

Start over.

 

If you plan to bet you should also think in terms of Kelly formula, of maximum draw-down, of maximum bet.

If you consider betting on a black box trading system, or a back-tested trading system, you should consider the data you have as unreliable and not do it. You should trade only a system that makes sense to you.

 

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Elite T;
Frankly the first sounds like the worst set up i have seen all year;
really neither, but amoung the 2, the last one

Keep looking

 

You are a big swinging dick. Best post on Elite Trader for 2012.

 

The 1st is like playing black and red on a roulette but by betting 407 you get 433 and not 407.

The other one seems very conservative and chances are that you will lose the 50$ thatn win the 1000$ .

On paper the 1st one gives the better return (better than a roulette anyway) but if i HAD to choose i would go for the 2nd one .

Losing 50$ is no big deal.

 

how about doing further research to determine if the second entry can be modified for greater odds; ie, maybe it works 22% better if taken only on Thursdays when the 33 EMA is up, etc.

 

Perhaps reversing All the signals of the 10% win-rate set-up would give you a 90% win-rate set-up!

 

setups with a higher % winrate are the most attractive, even if they have negative expectation over the long run. It is a psychological barrier to success. One of many.

 

The way I see it, it depends on the frequency of the setups. They have the same expectation, so jump on the one that you see most often.

 

Where is your mansion located??