Which of these would you trade??

Discussion in 'Automated Trading' started by frostengine, Oct 6, 2006.

  1. Which of these strategies would you feel the most secure in trading in an automated environment? What other performance metrics should I be looking at?

    Due to the HIGHLY specialized data needed for this system, the only data I got to test on is what I have captured over the past 40 trading days. Some of the methods traded in excess of 300 trades so they have a little bit of statistical significance, but the ones trading only ~30 or so is hard to trust. All results based on trading only one contract.

    Trade Manager: 0 Trades: 169.0 Wins: 73 Losses: 96 AvgUp: 269.93150684931453 Avg Down: 144.16666666666723 Win% 0.4319526627218935 Profit Factor: 1.4237716763005694 Expectancy: $34.70414201183377 Total Money: 5864.999999999905

    Trade Manager: 1 Trades: 335.0 Wins: 198 Losses: 137 AvgUp: 118.88888888888924 Avg Down: 140.76642335766437 Win% 0.591044776119403 Profit Factor: 1.2206378014000543 Expectancy: $12.701492537313591 Total Money: 4255.000000000051

    Trade Manager: 2 Trades: 38.0 Wins: 25 Losses: 13 AvgUp: 375.7999999999993 Avg Down: 364.2307692307678 Win% 0.6578947368421053 Profit Factor: 1.9841605068637842 Expectancy: $122.63157894736844 Total Money: 4660.0

    Trade Manager: 3 Trades: 167.0 Wins: 118 Losses: 49 AvgUp: 104.91525423728856 Avg Down: 159.28571428571522 Win% 0.7065868263473054 Profit Factor: 1.5861627162075564 Expectancy: $27.395209580838355 Total Money: 4575.0000000000055

    Trade Manager: 4 Trades: 51.0 Wins: 28 Losses: 23 AvgUp: 356.07142857142827 Avg Down: 265.434782608695 Win% 0.5490196078431373 Profit Factor: 1.6330876330876354 Expectancy: $75.78431372549032 Total Money: 3865.0000000000055

    Trade Manager: 5 Trades: 169.0 Wins: 115 Losses: 54 AvgUp: 101.26086956521783 Avg Down: 154.6296296296303 Win% 0.6804733727810651 Profit Factor: 1.3946107784431139 Expectancy: $19.497041420118435 Total Money: 3295.0000000000146

    Trade Manager: 6 Trades: 38.0 Wins: 25 Losses: 13 AvgUp: 366.9999999999995 Avg Down: 372.69230769230643 Win% 0.6578947368421053 Profit Factor: 1.8937048503612008 Expectancy: $113.94736842105274 Total Money: 4330.000000000004

    Trade Manager: 9 Trades: 142.0 Wins: 44 Losses: 98 AvgUp: 189.54545454545513 Avg Down: 52.04081632653121 Win% 0.30985915492957744 Profit Factor: 1.6352941176470452 Expectancy: $22.816901408450477 Total Money: 3239.9999999999673

    Trade Manager: 10 Trades: 61.0 Wins: 42 Losses: 19 AvgUp: 248.80952380952385 Avg Down: 361.842105263157 Win% 0.6885245901639344 Profit Factor: 1.5200000000000038 Expectancy: $58.6065573770495 Total Money: 3575.000000000018

    Trade Manager: 11 Trades: 167.0 Wins: 118 Losses: 49 AvgUp: 104.91525423728856 Avg Down: 159.28571428571522 Win% 0.7065868263473054 Profit Factor: 1.5861627162075564 Expectancy: $27.395209580838355 Total Money: 4575.0000000000055