Doesn't have to be a leak, these people have so much money at stake they'll have an entire department that sits around and calculates the numbers before the release, so with damn good probability they'll know what'll happen before and set off buy / sell programs and adjust there position accordingly. As long as it's moving and we can profit who cares right
You might want to do some fact checking. You are a bit off....let's start fixing a bit of what you wrote First off this bull market that began in 2009 is the longest on record. The 1982-2000, is completely false. If you cant recall I will recall for you, October 1987, there you go. Okay moving on the second longest bull market is the one from the start of 1990s, it lasted just over 9 years. The one we are in now is 10+ years old. No other bull market has lasted this long. And bull markets always come to an end. There is absolutely no bull market that last forever and this one will end just like the last ones ended. Bear markets are only figured out and tagged with a reason after the fact the market is down, until then it's a guessing game. So they do pretty much happen randomly until months or even years past and you finally discover that it was a bear market all along. By then it's too late to take off the modest gains you carried months prior...
Law of large numbers will work against this idea...just saying. Go back in history to all the companies that were once leaders and on top of their game on wallstreet. They never lasted through the cycles of innovation and change. Apple is the household name today but 10-20-30 years this wont hold true.
A bull or bear market is not a "fact" that is predefined. It is, as you say, figured after the fact. We went bear market on Dec 24th, 2018. Well, it did not last long. It lasted exactly 0 minutes. Shortest bear market in history by the classic definition of 20%, because Dec 26th killed that bear market. Dudes, duderinos, and whomever else, we will not be in a bear market until GDP contracts for two or three quarters in a row.
US30, no new highs really in coming up for 2years, little break over, this is a sideways market a nasty 1 at that, with big sell offs and reverses, intraday players game only here. Long term, start building a short position, max upside 30,000 so plan accordingly, then quit and take thy loss.
Are we referring to an intraday drop of 20%+ that caused that "bear market" I believe the close was a fraction below 20% around Christmas
An intraday drop of 20%? Well, that probably won't happen, ever, with the circuit breakers in place now. But yes, that was the start of the bear market, when we closed down 20% from the previous high, as per the "classic" definition of the thing.
Stocks are DIRT CHEAP lol? How cheap would they be if the market did drop 50% from this so called "dirt cheap" level...super super duper dirt cheap?
I remember the day, got to a client, logged onto account, spotted the DEATH, my 1 stock was only down a fraction, sold and jumped on something down massively doubled my money in 30mins then sat the rest of that day out, then made a killing shorting, till a massive gap up which wiped all my puts out over night, 6K just gone