agree, I would be very surprised if they do 75, they will do 50 as a safe bet since this is what they signaled. Next meeting most likely 75
yeah youre spot on imo. They need a bounce and the short squueze from the .75 rumors will fuel it. No reason to go too fast. We'll turn into 90s Japan
Are you long in the market?? A rate cut??!! Seriously?? With double-digit inflation in both inflation and core inflation with no resolution in sight except cut spending, the Fed dares to cut the rate?? LOL No we will be lucky if the Fed doesn't increase the rate more than it plans to. If you don't want the Fed to increase the rate too much or hope for a rate cut, then get off your a$$ and go work. Stop trading, (since we don't have robots in place), make everybody in your family and friends circle, everybody from your ninety-year-old WWII'ers to six-month-old babies to work and work 12 hours a day to plant and make everything that we need. The unemployment rate is 3.5% so there should be plenty of jobs available. Open up the oil reserve and then you will be able to see the price level go down without raising the interest rates much to induce a recession. Otherwise be prepared for double-digit interest rates and a recession cuz that's what it took last time to get the inflation down.
It's not the rate decision that's going to move the market tomorrow. It's what Powell will say behind the rate decision that will move the market. 0.50 rate increase is pretty much anticipated. There would be no surprise there unless he goes for a 0.75 rate increase which is highly unlikely. But if he says he will increase the magnitude in the future, that's going to drive the market down but if he relents and says he will watch the market more closely and will adjust promptly if the market condition warrants it or something down that line, we might see a bit of a rally. We need to catch on to every single syllable that Powell utters tomorrow. I am sure they are already programmed in the algo.
Jerome Powell will only raise it 50 basis points so, the market will rally. Lots of retail traders love the fluff. Then, the huge crash after it. The economy of the US and Europe in pretty bad shape, not all the lipstick on that pig will change anything. Atleast, you got a beautiful pig. Better still just roast that pig. We will enjoy roast pig much better.