When evaluating your trading results, is it proper to compare to a simple buy and hold?

Discussion in 'Trading' started by Tall Mike, Jul 23, 2023.

  1. ironchef

    ironchef

    If you do buy and hold for 20 years. You will find that at the end of 20 years, you should get a positive return.

    Individual stocks too. Anyone who bought MSFT back in 2000 at the ATH of $60 a share should do quite well today.
     
    #31     Jul 31, 2023
  2. ironchef

    ironchef

    I am actually trying to get back into day trading and I am not kidding. Have been paper trading for the past month making good paper profits.

    Seems like easy money to me, all you have to do is buy low sell high or sell high buy low.

    But I am afraid it will be like 2010 all over again. I day traded for a couple of years then. Made good paper profits but never made any real money. :(
     
    #32     Jul 31, 2023
    murray t turtle likes this.
  3. deaddog

    deaddog

    I agree you should (key word here is should) get a positive return. The reason for that is that the S&P index kicks out the losers and adds the new winners. But every so often your liquid net worth gets cut in half as the market sells off. I didn't like that so I changed from being a long term investor to a speculator.

    As for individual stocks it depends on which ones you own. Granted MSFT and AMZN have done really well, but what if your portfolio included Nortel, Research in Motion, World Com and Enron?

    Buy and hold gives the market control over your investments. I prefer to have more control.
     
    #33     Aug 1, 2023
    ironchef likes this.
  4. deaddog

    deaddog

    Looking back what was the difference between your demo trading and real time trading?
     
    #34     Aug 1, 2023
  5. What are you daytrading? Futures, stocks?
     
    #35     Aug 1, 2023
  6. %%
    LOL\bad thing about buy + hold, they dont figure in bid ask/spread.
    I'M planning[not a prediction] to switch Insure Co late AUG;
    i tend to drive careful ,but get plenty [about 10X] state minimum for liability.
    I skip the collision coverage even though Insure co prices it to make a profit so they really hate that LOL.
    May average a bit more short term trades if AUG gets sideways clop chop; but i have to allow 1% for slippage on my exits, so seldom disapointed on that:D:D
     
    #36     Aug 1, 2023
  7. ironchef

    ironchef

    Agree. since 2014-2015, I followed what @Handle123 told me: Dance options around my buy and hold. It worked. Reduced some of the stinks of a drawdown like 2020 & 2022.
     
    #37     Aug 1, 2023
  8. ironchef

    ironchef

    Stocks, mostly around my buy and hold.
     
    #38     Aug 1, 2023
    murray t turtle likes this.
  9. ironchef

    ironchef

    Mainly, psychological, and discipline, I think. Back in 2010 I really didn't know what I was doing and didn't keep good records.

    I am older now, hopefully wiser? This time I will keep a good record.
     
    #39     Aug 1, 2023
  10. deaddog

    deaddog

    The tech wreck 2000ish was my wake-up call. Changed from buy and hold to trader and managed to avoid every major down turn since then. Long only or cash.
     
    #40     Aug 1, 2023
    ironchef and murray t turtle like this.