Absolutely agree. Its just something I don't need to think about as a trader. If the bull market ends tonight, it will take me about 90 seconds to log on and close whatever long positions I have open. Being absolutely truthful, even if some guru told me exactly the date and time when the bull market would end, I'd still follow my bullish trend-following strategy until the trend wasn't bullish. As soon as a bearish trend was confirmed, I'd be in there short, with no thought about when the bear market would end.
Have you not seen how many ET trolls have been predicting a crash of the stockmarket for sometime now? If they had to pay me $100 to give out their silly predictions, I would be making monies hand over fist. Add to that the CNBC boys crying recession and saying we are about to crash too? That was a month or so, ago. What about those gold bugs? They have been predicting a market crash for sometime now. Years actually. I will give them credit that precious metals are starting to go up. That is a different matter though. However, they have been very, very wrong on their market predictions of a crash. Stop worrying, when you could be making monies now!
hence my advice to OP, priority 1 is to up the earning power... I'd not worry about the currency... the dollar collapse is fear mongering from people who want to sell you gold coins and bitcoins.. hedging costs money... no need..
GMO forecasted 7 year zero stock returns in 2012. This year will be the 7th year. They had all the logical reasons that returns will be no good. In the end, all the logic doesn't work. The only way to make money is to buy and hold. Don't try to be too smart. If someone is telling you this is the peak, ask them what was wrong with that logic in 2012.
A big drop in the market that looks sustainable will bring a lot of guys in the buy and hold camp into the trading arena. A big improvement in the game, for seasoned traders.