Your targets are too small. You're winning on noise. Six tick average wins? $200k and you can't scrape up more than $13k? Your nut must be pretty large as a % of income, so listen to Mav and do not quit your job. I can't understand the maths you're using to equate a $13k spec to a job netting $140k. TBH the last thing you should trading is futures. You will get run-over in CL as soon as you ramp-up in size. You made a bit over a grand and you're wondering who to shop this to? Seriously?
How did you trade to accumulate this sample? In terms of numbers, I think you'd be really lucky to make $200k just by tape reading/scalping futures. You could try to automate, that's probably the most reasonable idea.
The trades themselves are pretty independent unless you believe some VERY odd technical theories about minute bars and tape ticks days ago driving current price. The confidence test used didn't require normality and in fact, assumes it doesn't exist (and it clearly doesn't in this case). What obviously IS a concern is whether the underlying system is static, which on a long enough time scale clearly it isn't. If anything that argues for trying to ramp aggressively while the getting is good. As far as backing, I find your statement odd. You're always the one pimping Topstep, and I'd say there's a 99%+ chance of passing a combine simply by presenting them appropriately sized trades out of the above method. The question is whether that would buy me anything of value, whether there's a better place to go etc...
I'll take that bet - flip a RNG "coin" with the reverse of my win_size/loss_size ratio (41% chance of "win" on each flip). Do a run of 106 "flips". If you can find any run of 53 consecutive flips with at least 33 winners, I'll pay you $X. If you can't find one, you pay me $X. You game?
Already doing that - that's where the results come from. The question is whether there's a better option.
The average win in CL is about 8-9 ticks. Other than inefficiency from a commissions perspective, and potential liquidity issues, I can't see any reason that is a problem. Plenty of money has been made on single ticks as far as that goes.
Thanks for writing a well thought out and detailed post. Assuming you have a real edge (its ok if it works for only short term), My recommendations: 1) I agree with your point that you should ramp up while the going is good. With 200k yearly income, you must be getting 12-13k in hand after all taxes, IRA etc. You must also have 3-4 credit cards with limits approaching 50-100k. 2) I hope you getting it what I am going to say. Just borrow cash against your cards and borrow from some friend/employer/bank a personal loan of 50-60k or so. You already have 13k, that will make it 60-70k. You should be able to borrow this much amount within 7 working days. 3) Go trade that 60-70k for 2 months. If you continue to get positive results, take your results to someone rich or some prop firm and with 2-3 months of real trading with 60-70k in account and hopefully 10-20k in profits, someone will back you up. As another poster rightly said, if you have made just 1-3k then its hard for anyone to take you seriously at this point. Good luck for your endeauvor.