Most businesses are considered essential and operating either in person or remotely. Only thing closed really are schools, restaurants and bars (unless they have take out) and retail/gyms/movie theaters. So ....you are not alone working Mr. Essential haha
We can do it for 3 to 4 weeks if..... EVERYONE WOULD STAY THE FUCK HOME. That easy. But since people are too stupid or arrogant and keep flooding the hospitals with more cases....this is where we are at.
Just stay the fuck home for 3 - 4 weeks that is all.... but most of you are too arrogant or stupid to follow directions so this is where we are at...
Of course Isolation is the best approach to ensure people don't get infected. Its like abstinence being the best way to ensure you never get pregnant (or get someone pregnant). Duh. The issue isn't that isolation isn't the best solution to preventing infection, but balancing the infection concern against the destruction of the economy. If the economy ran on its own and didn't require us and we could all sit at home on Netflix our whole lives, then of course your solution would be the best. But it isn't. Therefore we have to consider what happens when we follow your suggested path (and we're going to be reaping what we sow on that for a long, long time - hope it was worth it).
It didn't cripple the economy when H1N1 infected an estimated 60.5M Americans, and it isnt likely it wouldn't here either.
These numbers show about a 25 percent hospitalization rate for those that test positive. However, due to lack of adequate testing , we have a much smaller denominator (positive cases). As mass testing becomes available, positive cases will multiply (denominator) while hospitalizations will remain constant. Those that need hospital care are going to the hospital regardless. So we know the numerator (hospitalizations and consequently > ICU admittances > deaths) is accurate. What that means is that in reality, we have a much larger positive case number then currently being reported (due to the CDCs horrendous failure to developed rapid mass testing like the South Koreans and Taiwanese). So when Abbott gets their 5 mins test out were going to see a mushroom explosion in positive tests (largely asymptomatic and mild cases.....ppl walking around who didn't know they had it), but the absolute hospitalization numbers stay the same (as anyone dying or deathly ill will find their way to the hospital for urgent care) So that current ~25 percent hospitalization estimate will drop considerably after mass testing roll out. Maybe 10 percent hospitalization? Perhaps less ?
The difference, the huge gigantic utterly enormous difference between H1N1 and this is we didn't have a media doing a hourly body count whipping up as much panic as they possibly can. Consequently every MF'er with a nasal drip is running to the f'n hospital instead of just staying home and sweating it out. What we need to do is mandate only critically ill will be seen, and I mean unable to drive themselves in critical. Another thing, the other enormous elephant in the room is no matter what we do now, this whole deal plays out again come November/December. This virus isn't going to magically disappear and it's extremely unlikely that we'll have a vaccine.
you are a smart guy... how would you prove your statement? Data? Expert guess? Millions are in essential services and can not stay home... they go home to family members every night. What if the healthy were building antibodies at a much faster rate before the shut down... and now we are not? What if the concern Fauci floated today is correct and we are going to experience this again in the fall. you realize he is floating that out as his caveat if this shutdown turns out to be much less than optimal. You know smart people are saying to him... this shutdown is wrecking our future. sure hope this works to stop the virus. And he has to say... Well I don't know... even if we slow the virius down now... it could come back when we cease social distancing. Social distancing might fail.
Sure, we don't know a lot of the variables. Hence any suggestion that reopening the economy sooner than later is a better option is nothing but wild guessing and conjecture. In the end decisions still have to be made in light of limited information. As human beings and a civilized society most humans will still choose life and health over Mammon, even if that would in extreme cases mean to go to sleep starving.