Regarding the title: No, I don't think you guys are retarded. Neither am I. I would like to run a poll/thread discussing similarities between current market/economic conditions and those of select historical intervals (years to keep it simple). So, I need suggestions for the years that show some similarity to 2010. the most popular years suggested in this thread will be put in a poll and we could discuss the similarities and implications going forward in that thread. I am thinking 2004 and 2007 could be good candidates. Any other suggestions?
It is a combination of 1939 and 1976 at this point, which I showed tremendously conclusively in another thread. The similarities are remarkable. And it speaks to a kind of supercyclicality. There is no other answer that deserves even a moment's consideration! (Not sure how to link to another thread though.)
Here it is. http://www.elitetrader.com/vb/showthread.php?s=&threadid=176440 see above. The point is, well, look at the chart, and the green shaded areas. You'll get the point. Chart: http://www.elitetrader.com/vb/attachment.php?s=&postid=2576250